UD Almería vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
UD Almería vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.
- UD Almería 12 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Burgos CF 13 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andres Fuentes Molina (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Victor Jimenez Yustos (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Carlos Martinez Caballero (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Castellon | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | UD Almería | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Burgos CF | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | SD Eibar | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | RCD Mallorca | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Real Sporting de Gijón | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona FC | 12 | 21 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 21 |
| 10 | Córdoba CF | 13 | 19 |
| 11 | CE Sabadell FC | 12 | 17 |
| 12 | UD Las Palmas | 12 | 17 |
| 13 | Real Valladolid CF | 12 | 15 |
| 14 | CD Tenerife | 11 | 14 |
| 15 | CD Eldense | 12 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo B | 13 | 13 |
| 17 | CD Leganés | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 12 | 11 |
| 19 | Cadiz CF | 13 | 10 |
| 20 | Andorra CF | 11 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete Balompie | 13 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Burgos CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Levante UD | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Sep | SD Eibar | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | CD Castellon | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Sep | CD Eldense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Real Sporting de Gijón | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | UD Almería | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Granada CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | RC Deportivo La Coruna | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | Real Zaragoza | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Sep | SD Huesca | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | CD Castellon | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| UD Almería | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 24 |
| 12 | Played | 13 |
| 8 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 3 |
| 23 | Scored | 19 |
| 10 | Conceded | 14 |
| +13 | GD | +5 |
| 2.17 | PPG | 1.85 |
| 67% | Win % | 54% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season
UD Almería this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season
Burgos CF this season
UD Almería are 2nd (26 pts). Burgos CF are 3rd (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
UD Almería
0-15
3/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burgos CF
0-15
2/6
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
UD Almería
| Miguel De la Fuente | 7 G | 1 A |
| Brian Cipenga | 3 G | 4 A |
| Javi Munoz | 2 G | 3 A |
| Nico Melamed | 2 G | 1 A |
| Daijiro Chirino | 2 G |
Burgos CF
| Alex Fores | 4 G | 1 A |
| Curro | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jon Karrikaburu | 3 G | 2 A |
| David Gonzalez | 3 G | 1 A |
| Javier Llabres | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos!
- 5' Dion Lopy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' UD Almeria is showing some good football. However, UD Almeria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' UD Almeria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. UD Almeria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burgos CF's compact 4-1-4-1.
- 29' Magnificent from Luis Suarez! That is 72 goals in 372 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 31' UD Almeria receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
- 36' Chumi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 38' That is a card for UD Almeria. Sergio Arribas will be fuming at that decision.
- 43' UD Almeria looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Brian Cipenga scoring 1 goals.
- 48' It looks surprising Burgos CF does not make any changes. Inigo Cordoba has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 52' Nico Melamed was booked on 52.
- 53' The referee has no hesitation. Luis Suarez is booked for UD Almeria — card on 53.
- 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for David Gonzalez.
- 57' Aitor Cordoba has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
- 60' Burgos CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ivan Morante is hanging Miguel Atienza on the field on 60 minute.
- 61' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Nico Melamed is replaced by Arnau Puigmal on 61 minute.
- 66' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rubí will be considering his options from the bench.
- 69' Burgos CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Inigo Cordoba is hanging Borja Sanchez Laborde on the field on 69 minute.
- 73' Another change for UD Almeria made on 73 minute. Leo Baptistao leaves to be changed by Rachad Fettal.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fer Nino, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 84' Another substitution for Burgos CF to replace Aitor Cordoba by Daniel Ojeda on 84 minute.
- 89' Alejandro Pozo does the damage! The net is bulging and UD Almeria surge ahead!
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for UD Almeria players.
Lineups
UD Almería Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 12
- 1
- 17
- 15
- 9
- 24
- 6
- 11
- 21
- 10
Bench
- 3
- 20
- 13
- 2
- 4
- 8
- 27
- 19
- 28
Coach
Rubí
Burgos CF Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
3
Florian Miguel ↓ Ian Forns 60'
- 2
- 10
- 12
- 13
- 4
-
5
Miguel Atienza ↓ Ivan Morante 60'
-
18
Aitor Cordoba ↓ Daniel Ojeda 84'
-
19
Eduardo Espiau ↓ Fer Nino 60'
- 11
- 14
Bench
- 1
-
7
Daniel Ojeda ↑ 84'
-
21
Inigo Cordoba ↑ 69'
- 20
-
23
Ivan Morante ↑ 60'
- 27
-
38
Ian Forns ↑ 60'
- 22
-
9
Fer Nino ↑ 60'
- 6
- 32
Coach
Bolo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gonzalo Melero | 1 |
| Inigo Cordoba | 1 |
| Fer Nino | 1 |
| Marcelo Exposito | 1 |
| Brian Cipenga | 1 |
| Miguel De la Fuente | 1 |
| Jon Karrikaburu | 1 |
| Alejandro Pozo | 1 |
Head to Head
UD Almería Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7
UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
Burgos CF xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: UD Almería win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
UD Almería or Draw
80%
Draw or Burgos CF
46%
UD Almería or Burgos CF
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: UD Almería win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — UD Almería
| Handicap | UD Almería covers | Push | Burgos CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

