UD Almería vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
UD Almería vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.
- UD Almería 6 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Burgos CF 6 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andres Fuentes Molina (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Victor Jimenez Yustos (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Carlos Martinez Caballero (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Castellón | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | SD Eibar | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | RCD Mallorca | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | UD Almería | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | CE Sabadell FC | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | CD Leganes | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Girona FC | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijón | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | CD Tenerife | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | UD Las Palmas | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Real Oviedo | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 6 | 8 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad B | 6 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Córdoba CF | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | CD Eldense | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Real Valladolid CF | 6 | 5 |
| 19 | Cadiz CF | 6 | 3 |
| 20 | Andorra CF | 6 | 3 |
| 21 | Albacete Balompié | 6 | 1 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 6 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Burgos CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Levante UD | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Sep | SD Eibar | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | CD Castellón | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Sep | CD Eldense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Real Sporting de Gijón | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | UD Almería | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Granada CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | RC Deportivo La Coruña | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | Real Zaragoza | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Sep | SD Huesca | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | CD Castellón | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| UD Almería | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 12 | Points | 11 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 4 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 1 |
| 10 | Scored | 10 |
| 4 | Conceded | 7 |
| +6 | GD | +3 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.83 |
| 67% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season
UD Almería this season
17%
Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season
Burgos CF this season
UD Almería are 4th (12 pts). Burgos CF are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
UD Almería
0-15
3/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burgos CF
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
UD Almería
| Nico Melamed | 2 G | 1 A |
| Federico Bonini | 1 G | |
| Stefan Dzodic | 1 G |
Burgos CF
| Alex Fores | 3 G | |
| David Gonzalez | 2 G | 1 A |
| Javier Llabres | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos will turn into a battlefield for UD Almería and Burgos CF.
- 5' Eduardo Espiau, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Anderson Arroyo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burgos CF.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 29' Goal! Luis Suarez scores his 63 goal in 362 matches.
- 31' A moment of madness from Sergio Arribas on 31 minutes earns him a card. UD Almeria will be frustrated.
- 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both UD Almería and Burgos CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sergio Arribas.
- 43' It looks surprising Burgos CF does not make any changes. Luis Maximiano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 48' It’s high time Rubí made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 52' It’s a booking for UD Almeria player. Nico Melamed gets a card.
- 53' Luis Suarez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 53.
- 56' A moment of madness from David Gonzalez on 56 minutes earns him a card. Burgos CF will be frustrated.
- 57' It’s a booking for Burgos CF player. Aitor Cordoba gets a card.
- 60' A change in the Burgos CF ranks — Miguel Atienza exits the field as Ivan Morante enters on 60.
- 61' The whistle greets Nico Melamed as he departs to be replaced by Arnau Puigmal.
- 66' UD Almería is showing some good football. However, UD Almería are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 69' Another substitution for Burgos CF to replace Borja Sanchez Laborde by Inigo Cordoba on 69 minute.
- 73' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Leo Baptistao is replaced by Rachad Fettal on 73 minute.
- 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 83' Burgos CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 84' Another substitution for Burgos CF to replace Aitor Cordoba by Daniel Ojeda on 84 minute.
- 89' Alejandro Pozo makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and UD Almeria are in front.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
UD Almería Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 12
- 1
- 17
- 15
- 9
- 24
- 6
- 11
- 21
- 10
Bench
- 3
- 20
- 13
- 2
- 4
- 8
- 27
- 19
- 28
Coach
Rubí
Burgos CF Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
3
Florian Miguel ↓ Ian Forns 60'
- 2
- 10
- 12
- 13
- 4
-
5
Miguel Atienza ↓ Ivan Morante 60'
-
18
Aitor Cordoba ↓ Daniel Ojeda 84'
-
19
Eduardo Espiau ↓ Fer Nino 60'
- 11
- 14
Bench
- 1
-
7
Daniel Ojeda ↑ 84'
-
21
Inigo Cordoba ↑ 69'
- 20
-
23
Ivan Morante ↑ 60'
- 27
-
38
Ian Forns ↑ 60'
- 22
-
9
Fer Nino ↑ 60'
- 6
- 32
Coach
Bolo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Pozo | 1 |
| Luis Suarez | 1 |
| Gonzalo Melero | 1 |
| Inigo Cordoba | 1 |
| Fer Nino | 1 |
| Marcelo Exposito | 1 |
Head to Head
UD Almería Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
Burgos CF xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: UD Almería win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
UD Almería or Draw
80%
Draw or Burgos CF
46%
UD Almería or Burgos CF
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: UD Almería win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — UD Almería
| Handicap | UD Almería covers | Push | Burgos CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 24% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.