Sunday , 26 July 2026

UC Sampdoria vs FC Südtirol, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Fri 1 May 2026 · 13:00 UTC Stadio Luigi Ferraris HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver Abildgaard 31' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

UC Sampdoria vs FC SüdtirolSerie B at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Giuseppe Di Giacinto
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Galimberti (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May FC Südtirol H 1–0 W
25 Apr AC Cesena A 0–0 D
17 Apr AC Monza H 0–3 L
11 Apr Delfino Pescara 1936 A 2–1 W
06 Apr Empoli FC H 1–0 W
22 Mar Calcio Avellino SSD H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L
25 Apr Mantova 1911 SSD H 0–3 L
18 Apr Spezia Calcio A 1–6 L
11 Apr Modena FC 2018 H 1–1 D
06 Apr AC Cesena A 1–1 D
22 Mar Frosinone Calcio H 1–3 L

Season Stats

UC Sampdoria FC Südtirol
#13 Position #16
44 Points 41
38 Played 38
11 / 11 / 16 W / D / L 8 / 17 / 13
35 Scored 38
48 Conceded 48
-13 GD -10
1.16 PPG 1.08
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

UC Sampdoria are 13th (44 pts). FC Südtirol are 16th (41 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Luigi Ferraris!
  • 5' Fabian Tait is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Sudtirol so far.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. UC Sampdoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Mattia Viti has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both UC Sampdoria and FC Sudtirol are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' A moment of madness from Salvatore Molina on 30 minutes earns him a card. FC Sudtirol will be frustrated.
  • 31' Brilliant from the ! Oliver Abildgaard makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 31.
  • 36' Matteo Brunori Sandri is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Sudtirol tonight.
  • 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. UC Sampdoria and FC Sudtirol are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' UC Sampdoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Sudtirol backline.
  • 51' UC Sampdoria currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 53' UC Sampdoria player sees a card in front of him.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Domen Crnigoj on 62 minutes.
  • 67' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 77' Marius Adamonis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 511 appearances.
  • 82' UC Sampdoria are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against FC Sudtirol's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 87' Silvio Merkaj has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' Francesco Conti has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from UC Sampdoria to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 UC Sampdoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 FC Südtirol xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UC Sampdoria46% Draw29% FC Südtirol25%
Actual: UC Sampdoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

UC Sampdoria or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Südtirol
54%
UC Sampdoria or FC Südtirol
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UC Sampdoria28% Draw52% FC Südtirol20%
Actual: UC Sampdoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — UC Sampdoria

Handicap UC Sampdoria covers Push FC Südtirol covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
39%
FC Südtirol keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.