Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 38,725 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Warren Kamanzi
0–2 15' Joshua King
Florian Tardieu 38' 1–2
1–3 58' Yann Gboho
Dylan Batubinsika 63' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Toulouse FC H 2–3 L
10 May Stade de Reims A 2–0 W
03 May AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
26 Apr RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–3 L
20 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 2–1 W
13 Apr Stade Brestois 29 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May AS Saint-Étienne A 3–2 W
10 May Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
03 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–1 W
27 Apr FC Nantes A 0–0 D
20 Apr Stade de Reims A 0–1 L
12 Apr Lille OSC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Toulouse FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' A goal from the Norway international Warren Kamanzi! He fires home on 10 to make it 0-1!
  • 15' What composure from Joshua King! The Norway international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 20' Umit Akdag has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 23' A change in the AS Saint-Etienne ranks — Aimen Moueffek exits the field as Benjamin Bouchouari enters on 23.
  • 28' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ibrahima Wadji.
  • 35' AS Saint-Etienne are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toulouse FC backline.
  • 38' Florian Tardieu doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 43' Vincent Sierro is a natural central midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for AS Saint-Etienne tonight.
  • 46' The AS Saint-Etienne bench stirs into life. Maxime Bernauer is withdrawn and Dylan Batubinsika gets his opportunity.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carles Martínez might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jaydee Canvot suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' The deadlock is broken! Yann Gboho gets on the scoresheet on 58 minutes.
  • 59' Zakaria Aboukhlal is replacing Joshua King for the Toulouse FC side.
  • 63' Goal! Dylan Batubinsika scores his 9 goal in 310 matches.
  • 68' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AS Saint-Etienne and Toulouse FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 69' Another change for AS Saint-Etienne made on 69 minute. Ibrahima Wadji leaves to be changed by Ben Old.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Zuriko Davitashvili is booked for AS Saint-Etienne — card on 70.
  • 72' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 72 minute. Djibril Sidibe leaves to be changed by Rafik Messali.
  • 77' Guillaume Restes, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toulouse FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' Another change for AS Saint-Etienne made on 83 minute. Irvin Cardona leaves to be changed by Djylian N'Guessan.
  • 84' That is a card for AS Saint-Etienne. Benjamin Bouchouari will be fuming at that decision.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Warren Kamanzi is replaced by Umit Akdag on 85 minute.
  • 90' Guillaume Restes is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The points are shared — AS Saint-Etienne 2-3 Toulouse FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 AS Saint-Étienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Étienne or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne37% Draw27% Toulouse FC36%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Étienne or Draw
64%
Draw or Toulouse FC
63%
AS Saint-Étienne or Toulouse FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne28% Draw44% Toulouse FC28%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Étienne

Handicap AS Saint-Étienne covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.