Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 38,725 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Warren Kamanzi
0–2 15' Joshua King
Florian Tardieu 38' 1–2
1–3 58' Yann Gboho
Dylan Batubinsika 63' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Toulouse FC H 2–3 L
10 May Stade de Reims A 2–0 W
03 May AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
26 Apr RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–3 L
20 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 2–1 W
13 Apr Stade Brestois 29 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May AS Saint-Étienne A 3–2 W
10 May Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
03 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–1 W
27 Apr FC Nantes A 0–0 D
20 Apr Stade de Reims A 0–1 L
12 Apr Lille OSC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AS Saint-Étienne kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' What a strike from Warren Kamanzi! The score is 0-1.
  • 15' GOAL! Joshua King scores on 15. Assisted by Frank Magri
  • 20' Pierre Ekwah needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
  • 23' Another change for AS Saint-Etienne made on 23 minute. Aimen Moueffek leaves to be changed by Benjamin Bouchouari.
  • 28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Ibrahima Wadji.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Guillaume Restes made 420 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 38' What a strike from Florian Tardieu! The score is 0-3.
  • 43' Toulouse FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' Another substitution for AS Saint-Etienne to replace Maxime Bernauer by Dylan Batubinsika on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maxime Bernauer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' What a strike from Yann Gboho! The score is 0-4.
  • 59' Zakaria Aboukhlal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joshua King on 59 minute.
  • 63' What a strike from Dylan Batubinsika! The score is 0-5.
  • 68' The travelling Toulouse FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 69' Time for substitution for AS Saint-Etienne. Ibrahima Wadji is replaced by Ben Old.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Zuriko Davitashvili. He receives a card.
  • 72' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Djibril Sidibe departs to be replaced by Rafik Messali.
  • 77' It’s high time Eirik Horneland made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 83' It is a substitution in AS Saint-Etienne team. Irvin Cardona is replaced by Djylian N'Guessan on 83 minute.
  • 84' AS Saint-Etienne player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' Another substitution for Toulouse FC to replace Warren Kamanzi by Umit Akdag on 85 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a card on 90.
  • Full Time. Toulouse FC beats AS Saint-Étienne

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 AS Saint-Étienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Étienne or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne37% Draw27% Toulouse FC36%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Étienne or Draw
64%
Draw or Toulouse FC
63%
AS Saint-Étienne or Toulouse FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne28% Draw44% Toulouse FC28%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Étienne

Handicap AS Saint-Étienne covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
23%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.