Saturday , 14 November 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 38,725 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Warren Kamanzi
0–2 15' Joshua King
Florian Tardieu 38' 1–2
1–3 58' Yann Gboho
Dylan Batubinsika 63' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Toulouse FC H 2–3 L
10 May Stade de Reims A 2–0 W
03 May AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
26 Apr RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–3 L
20 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 2–1 W
13 Apr Stade Brestois 29 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May AS Saint-Étienne A 3–2 W
10 May Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
03 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–1 W
27 Apr FC Nantes A 0–0 D
20 Apr Stade de Reims A 0–1 L
12 Apr Lille OSC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. AS Saint-Etienne are looking to make home advantage count against Toulouse FC.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. AS Saint-Etienne must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' What composure from Warren Kamanzi! The Norway international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 15' Joshua King is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 20' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 23' A tactical swap from AS Saint-Etienne — Benjamin Bouchouari on, Aimen Moueffek off on 23 minutes.
  • 28' Toulouse FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Ibrahima Wadji has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Toulouse FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' What composure from Florian Tardieu! The France international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' AS Saint-Etienne ring the changes. Maxime Bernauer has done his job and it is now time for Dylan Batubinsika to step up.
  • 51' Cristian Casseres Jr. has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Saint-Etienne side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 58' A goal from the France international Yann Gboho! He fires home on 58 to make it 1-3!
  • 59' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Joshua King has done his job and it is now time for Zakaria Aboukhlal to step up.
  • 63' The deadlock is broken! Dylan Batubinsika gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
  • 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 69' Ibrahima Wadji makes way for Ben Old at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Saint-Etienne.
  • 70' It’s a booking for AS Saint-Etienne player. Zuriko Davitashvili gets a card.
  • 72' Rafik Messali gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Djibril Sidibe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Maxime Bernauer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 82' Rafik Messali has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 83' Djylian N'Guessan is replacing Irvin Cardona for the AS Saint-Etienne side.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Bouchouari. He receives a card.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Umit Akdag on, Warren Kamanzi off on 85 minutes.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Toulouse FC player. Guillaume Restes gets a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 AS Saint-Étienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Étienne or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne37% Draw27% Toulouse FC36%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Étienne or Draw
64%
Draw or Toulouse FC
63%
AS Saint-Étienne or Toulouse FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne28% Draw44% Toulouse FC28%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Étienne

Handicap AS Saint-Étienne covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.