Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 16:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gio Reyna 46' 1–0
1–1 90+1' Jacob Bruun Larsen

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Barcelona H 2–3 L
07 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
30 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
27 Nov GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 3–0 W
23 Nov SC Freiburg H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
12 Dec FCSB Bukarest H 0–0 D
08 Dec SC Freiburg H 1–1 D
04 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 0–3 L
01 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
28 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#2 Position #5
73 Points 61
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
70 Scored 65
34 Conceded 52
+36 GD +13
2.15 PPG 1.79
65% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.05 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Borussia Dortmund to win 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund57% Draw23% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
80%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
43%
Borussia Dortmund or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund43% Draw42% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.