Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 16:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gio Reyna 46' 1–0
1–1 90+1' Jacob Bruun Larsen

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Barcelona H 2–3 L
07 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
30 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
27 Nov GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 3–0 W
23 Nov SC Freiburg H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
12 Dec FCSB Bukarest H 0–0 D
08 Dec SC Freiburg H 1–1 D
04 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 0–3 L
01 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
28 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#1 Position #14
12 Points 3
4 Played 4
4 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
9 Scored 7
2 Conceded 10
+7 GD -3
3.00 PPG 0.75
100% Win % 25%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.63 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund70% Draw18% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim12%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
88%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
30%
Borussia Dortmund or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund57% Draw35% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
3 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
6.8%
4 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
5 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3%
5 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 34% — 66%
-2 34% 22% 44%
-1.5 56% — 44%
-1 56% 21% 23%
-0.5 77% — 23%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.