Sunday , 16 August 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Sehrou Guirassy
Adam Hlozek 61' 1–1
1–2 74' Julian Brandt
Pavel Kaderabek 90+1' 2–2
2–3 90+5' Waldemar Anton

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–3 L
19 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
12 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
09 Apr FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
05 Apr SC Freiburg A 4–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Borussia Dortmund
#11 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.92 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim30% Draw33% Borussia Dortmund37%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
63%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
70%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21% Draw56% Borussia Dortmund23%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
16.9%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 3
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
37%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.