Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Sehrou Guirassy
Adam Hlozek 61' 1–1
1–2 74' Julian Brandt
Pavel Kaderabek 90+1' 2–2
2–3 90+5' Waldemar Anton

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–3 L
19 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
12 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
09 Apr FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
05 Apr SC Freiburg A 4–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Borussia Dortmund
#5 Position #2
61 Points 73
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
65 Scored 70
52 Conceded 34
+13 GD +36
1.79 PPG 2.15
53% Win % 65%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund44%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
56%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
69%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25% Draw40% Borussia Dortmund35%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 19% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
15%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.