Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
02 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
29 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–1 W
25 Nov Villarreal CF H 4–0 W
22 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 3–3 D
08 Nov Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
29 Nov FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
21 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
08 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
02 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
28 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 9–10 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#2 Position #5
73 Points 61
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
70 Scored 65
34 Conceded 52
+36 GD +13
2.15 PPG 1.79
65% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.3 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund57% Draw22% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
79%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
43%
Borussia Dortmund or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund43% Draw38% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim19%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
27%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.