St. Louis City vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Louis City vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Citypark.
- St. Louis City 26 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 5–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Apr | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Mar | Real Salt Lake | A | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | St. Louis City | A | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| St. Louis City | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #9 |
| 44 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 8 / 6 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 45 | Scored | 55 |
| 36 | Conceded | 64 |
| +9 | GD | -9 |
| 1.69 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 46% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
St. Louis City are 19th (44 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
St. Louis City
0-15
4/3
16-30
7/2
31-45
9/3
46-60
8/5
61-75
6/5
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 13 G | 3 A |
| Simon Becher | 8 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' St. Louis City have kicked off against FC Cincinnati. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 4' Goal! Jared Stroud scores his 9 goal in 294 matches.
- 9' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 19' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 24' Jakob Nerwinski is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 27' Controversy at the stadium! Obinna Nwobodo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 32' St. Louis City currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 39' Brilliant from the ! Eduard Lowen makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 39.
- 43' Sergio Santos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 43.
- 47' The deadlock is broken! Kyle Hiebert gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 52' Both keepers have barely been tested. St. Louis City and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 53' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nicholas Gioacchini makes no mistake. 4-0!
- 57' Roman Celentano does the damage! The net is bulging and St. Louis City surge ahead!
- 61' St. Louis City ring the changes. Rasmus Alm has done his job and it is now time for Isak Steiner Jensen to step up.
- 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sergio Santos makes it 5-1.
- 68' Brazil international Joao Klauss has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 73' Nick Hagglund is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for St. Louis City so far.
- 74' Time for substitution for St. Louis City. Indiana Vassilev is replaced by Akil Watts.
- 75' The crowd applauds Nicholas Gioacchini as he leaves the pitch. Tomas Ostrak steps in for St. Louis City.
- 76' Poor challenge from Tomas Ostrak. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 81' It’s high time Bradley Carnell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 86' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. St. Louis City take all three points.
Lineups
St. Louis City Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 10
- 26
-
14
John Nelson ↓ Selmir Pidro 61'
- 11
-
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Akil Watts 74'
- 8
- 9
- 2
- 21
- 22
Bench
-
17
Selmir Pidro ↑ 61'
- 39
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↑ 75'
- 24
- 15
-
20
Akil Watts ↑ 74'
- 12
- 28
-
30
Isak Steiner Jensen ↑ 61'
Coach
Bradley Carnell
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
- 13
- 4
- 93
- 19
- 31
- 5
- 17
- 29
- 15
- 18
Bench
- 14
- 2
- 1
- 32
- 28
- 8
- 26
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergio Santos | 2 |
| Nicholas Gioacchini | 1 |
| Jared Stroud | 1 |
| Kyle Hiebert | 1 |
| Matt Miazga | 1 |
| Yuya Kubo | 1 |
| Luciano Acosta | 1 |
| Eduard Lowen | 1 |
Head to Head
St. Louis City Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.47
St. Louis City xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Louis City win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
33%
St. Louis City or FC Cincinnati
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Louis City win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
6.5%
4 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
4.5%
4 – 2
4.5%
1 – 1
4.4%
5 – 1
Actual
5 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — St. Louis City
| Handicap | St. Louis City covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -2 | 38% | 19% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 17% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

