Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Portland Timbers

1 – 2

Full Time

St. Louis City

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 03:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Zac McGraw 3' 1–0

1–1 45+1' Jared Stroud

1–2 75' Kyle Hiebert

Y 29' Jared Stroud

Dario Zuparic 54' Y

Y 65' Miguel Perez

Santiago Moreno 68' Y

Zac McGraw 74' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
St. Louis City 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals St. Louis City

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 St. Louis City

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	St. Louis City	H	1–2	L
04 Mar	Los Angeles FC	A	2–3	L
28 Feb	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–0	W
09 Oct	Real Salt Lake	A	1–3	L
02 Oct	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
18 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–1	D

St. Louis City

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Portland Timbers	A	2–1	W
05 Mar	Charlotte FC	H	3–1	W
26 Feb	Austin FC	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		St. Louis City
#23	Position	#22
24	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
33	Scored	24
33	Conceded	24
+0	GD	+0
1.33	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

16% Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season

Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts). St. Louis City are 22nd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

2/5

16-30

4/5

31-45

4/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

5/–

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

St. Louis City

0-15

2/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

4/2

46-60

5/5

61-75

4/3

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy

8 G

2 A

St. Louis City

Marcel Hartel

5 G

3 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City — let the football do the talking.
3' The Canada Zac McGraw breaks the deadlock on 3 minutes. 1-0!
8' Akil Watts has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 120 appearances.
12' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Cristhian Paredes is withdrawn and Evander gets his opportunity.
17' The travelling St. Louis City supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
27' Portland Timbers are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against St. Louis City's 4-2-3-1 shape.
29' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jared Stroud.
34' Kyle Hiebert needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
44' It’s high time Bradley Carnell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
46' Jared Stroud adds to his 0 season tally! St. Louis City lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
51' It is a cagey affair so far. Portland Timbers in their 5-3-2 trying to find a way past St. Louis City's compact 4-2-3-1.
54' Controversy at the stadium! Dario Zuparic argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
59' Portland Timbers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
64' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. St. Louis City seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
65' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Miguel Perez.
66' Celio Pompeu gets the nod from St. Louis City. He replaces Jared Stroud and will look to change the dynamic.
67' It’s a booking for Portland Timbers player. Santiago Moreno gets a Yellow card.
68' Santiago Moreno is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
69' It is a substitution in Portland Timbers team. Evander is replaced by Jaroslaw Niezgoda on 69 minute.
72' The St. Louis City bench stirs into life. Rasmus Alm is withdrawn and Nicholas Gioacchini gets his opportunity.
73' It is a substitution in St. Louis City team. Indiana Vassilev is replaced by Akil Watts on 73 minute.
74' Zac McGraw picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
75' A goal from the Canada international Kyle Hiebert! He fires home on 75 to make it 1-2!
80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
81' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Claudio Bravo by Marvin Loria on 81 minute.
85' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Bartlett. He replaces John Nelson on 85 minute.
86' John Nelson makes way for Lucas Bartlett at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from St. Louis City.
Another three points for St. Louis City.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

1
David Bingham
21
Diego Chara
33
Larrys Mabiala
22
Cristhian Paredes ↓ Evander 12'
19
Eryk Williamson
5
Claudio Bravo ↓ Marvin Loria 81'
13
Dario Zuparic
18
Zac McGraw
30
Santiago Moreno ↓ Diego Gutierrez 81'
99
Nathan Fogaca
29
Juan Mosquera

Bench

Coach Giovanni Savarese

St. Louis City Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

17
Selmir Pidro
11
Nicholas Gioacchini ↑ 72'
39
Benjamin Lundt
7
Tomas Ostrak ↑ 66'
16
Samuel Adeniran
24
Lucas Bartlett ↑ 86'
15
Joshua Yaro
20
Akil Watts ↑ 73'
12
Celio Pompeu ↑ 66'

Coach Bradley Carnell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	2
Marcel Hartel	2
Felipe Mora	2
Eduard Lowen	1
Simon Becher	1
Zac McGraw	1
Nokkvi THorisson	1
Jared Stroud	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.46 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 St. Louis City xG

I would bet for: Portland Timbers or St. Louis City 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers31% Draw26% St. Louis City43%

Actual: St. Louis City win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.19

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

57%

Draw or St. Louis City

69%

Portland Timbers or St. Louis City

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers25% Draw43% St. Louis City32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.3%

0 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.7%

1 – 0

5.2%

1 – 3

2 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	St. Louis City covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	20%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

St. Louis City keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

St. Louis City Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

St. Louis City Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Clean Sheet