Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Chicago Fire FC

3 – 3

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 19 Mar 2023 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 8' Junior Moreno

Kacper Przybylko 32' 1–1

Rafael Czichos pen 45+1' 2–1

Chris Mueller 46' 3–1

3–2 84' Sergio Santos

3–3 87' Junior Moreno

Carlos Teran 13' Y

Gaston Claudio Gimenez 58' Y

Y 58' Brandon Vazquez

Miguel Navarro 66' Y

Mauricio Pineda 90' Y

Kacper Przybylko 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Soldier Field.

Chicago Fire FC 34 games · 55 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire FC 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC 2022-05-15 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC 2021-06-24 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Mar	FC Cincinnati	H	3–3	D
12 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
05 Mar	New York City FC	H	1–1	D
09 Oct	New England Revolution	H	1–1	D
01 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	3–2	W
18 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–3	D
12 Mar	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–0	W
05 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	0–0	D
26 Feb	Houston Dynamo	H	2–1	W
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC		FC Cincinnati
#4	Position	#8
55	Points	46
34	Played	34
16 / 7 / 11	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
64	Scored	67
54	Conceded	75
+10	GD	-8
1.62	PPG	1.35
47%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 4th (55 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

9/4

16-30

9/10

31-45

6/9

46-60

10/9

61-75

10/4

76+

6/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

Maren Haile-Selassie	13 G	5 A
Hugo Cuypers	12 G
Hugo Cuypers	11 G
Robert Lewandowski	9 G	3 A
Philip Zinckernagel	5 G	4 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Chicago Fire FC get us underway at Soldier Field.
5' Brenner da Silva needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
8' Junior Moreno has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 8 minutes.
9' Junior Moreno adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
13' The referee calls foul for Carlos Teran. He receives a Yellow card.
18' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
23' Carlos Teran, a Colombia , has 22 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
32' Brilliant from the ! Kacper Przybylko makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 32.
37' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Evander scoring 4 goals.
42' Chicago Fire FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's 5-3-2 shape.
46' What a moment for Rafael Czichos! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
50' The deadlock is broken! Junior Moreno gets on the scoresheet on 50 minutes.
55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mauricio Pineda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Chicago Fire FC.
58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Brandon Vazquez on 58.
61' Sergio Santos gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Ian Murphy and will look to change the dynamic.
66' The referee has no hesitation. Miguel Navarro is booked for Chicago Fire FC — Yellow card on 66.
69' Miguel Navarro makes way for Jonathan Dean at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Chicago Fire FC.
74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
79' Gaston Claudio Gimenez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
80' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Arquimides Ordonez on, Brandon Vazquez off on 80 minutes.
81' A change in the Chicago Fire FC ranks — Maren Haile-Selassie exits the field as Alex Monis enters on 81.
84' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sergio Santos makes it 2-4.
86' Brilliant from the ! Junior Moreno makes it 2-5 with a superb finish on 86.
87' Goal! Junior Moreno scores his 7 goal in 296 matches.
88' Another change for Chicago Fire FC made on 88 minute. Arnaud Souquet leaves to be changed by Kendall Burks.
90' A moment of madness from Mauricio Pineda on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Chicago Fire FC will be frustrated.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-3.

Lineups

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ezra Hendrickson

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

21
Matt Miazga
93
Junior Moreno
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 80'
31
Alvaro Barreal
5
Obinna Nwobodo
9
Brenner da Silva
15
Yerson Mosquera
32
Ian Murphy ↓ Sergio Santos 61'
28
Raymon Gaddis ↓ Santiago Arias 61'
18
Roman Celentano
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Luciano Acosta 80'

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Jhon Duran	3
Brian Gutierrez	3
Robert Beric	3
Philip Zinckernagel	2
Brandon Vazquez	2

Head to Head

Chicago Fire FC Form

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2023-03-12 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-03-05 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 New York City FC D 2022-10-09 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 New England Revolution D 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC W 2022-09-18 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 Charlotte FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2023-03-12 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Seattle Sounders FC W 2023-03-05 Orlando City SC 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2023-02-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Houston Dynamo W 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.44 Chicago Fire FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.92 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Chicago Fire FC47% Draw23% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw

69%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

53%

Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Chicago Fire FC38% Draw36% FC Cincinnati26%

Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.2%

1 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.7%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 2

5.4%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

1 – 3

3.6%

4 – 1

3.5%

3 – 3

Actual

4 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap	Chicago Fire FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	14%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	18%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	14%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.