Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Chicago Fire FC

3 – 3

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 19 Mar 2023 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 8' Junior Moreno

Kacper Przybylko 32' 1–1

Rafael Czichos pen 45+1' 2–1

Chris Mueller 46' 3–1

3–2 84' Sergio Santos

3–3 87' Junior Moreno

Carlos Teran 13' Y

Gaston Claudio Gimenez 58' Y

Y 58' Brandon Vazquez

Miguel Navarro 66' Y

Mauricio Pineda 90' Y

Kacper Przybylko 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Soldier Field.

Chicago Fire FC 26 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	27	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	St. Louis City	27	47
18	FC Dallas	27	47
19	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire FC 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC 2022-05-15 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC 2021-06-24 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Mar	FC Cincinnati	H	3–3	D
12 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
05 Mar	New York City FC	H	1–1	D
09 Oct	New England Revolution	H	1–1	D
01 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	3–2	W
18 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–3	D
12 Mar	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–0	W
05 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	0–0	D
26 Feb	Houston Dynamo	H	2–1	W
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC		FC Cincinnati
#5	Position	#9
42	Points	33
26	Played	26
12 / 6 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
46	Scored	55
38	Conceded	64
+8	GD	-9
1.62	PPG	1.27
46%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

31% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

7/2

16-30

7/5

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/6

61-75

8/–

76+

3/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

Hugo Cuypers	11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie	8 G	3 A
Philip Zinckernagel	5 G	4 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Soldier Field. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Chicago Fire FC and FC Cincinnati.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
8' GOAL! Junior Moreno fires home to make it 0-1!
9' Junior Moreno with the second goal in the match!
13' The referee shows Chicago Fire FC player a Yellow card on 13.
18' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Obinna Nwobodo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
23' Mauricio Pineda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
32' Goal! Kacper Przybylko scores his 19 goal in 293 matches.
37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
42' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
46' Rafael Czichos makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Chicago Fire FC are in front.
50' Brilliant from the ! Junior Moreno makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 50.
55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gaston Claudio Gimenez, as he is very good at scoring at Soldier Field with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Brandon Vazquez on 58.
61' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Ian Murphy is withdrawn and Sergio Santos gets his opportunity.
66' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Miguel Navarro on 66 minutes.
69' The Chicago Fire FC bench stirs into life. Miguel Navarro is withdrawn and Jonathan Dean gets his opportunity.
74' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Chicago Fire FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
79' Arnaud Souquet has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 302 appearances.
80' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Brandon Vazquez is replaced by Arquimides Ordonez.
81' Fresh legs for Chicago Fire FC! Alex Monis comes on to replace Maren Haile-Selassie.
84' What a strike from Sergio Santos! The score is 2-4.
86' A goal from the Venezuela international Junior Moreno! He fires home on 86 to make it 2-5!
87' What composure from Junior Moreno! The Venezuela international strokes it home. 2-6.
88' Kendall Burks is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arnaud Souquet at the 88 minute mark.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mauricio Pineda on 90 minutes.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Chicago Fire FC 3-3 FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ezra Hendrickson

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

21
Matt Miazga
93
Junior Moreno
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 80'
31
Alvaro Barreal
5
Obinna Nwobodo
9
Brenner da Silva
15
Yerson Mosquera
32
Ian Murphy ↓ Sergio Santos 61'
28
Raymon Gaddis ↓ Santiago Arias 61'
18
Roman Celentano
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Luciano Acosta 80'

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Robert Beric	3
Jhon Duran	3
Brian Gutierrez	3
Alvaro Medran	2
Kevin Denkey	2

Head to Head

Chicago Fire FC Form

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2023-03-12 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-03-05 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 New York City FC D 2022-10-09 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 New England Revolution D 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC W 2022-09-18 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 Charlotte FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2023-03-12 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Seattle Sounders FC W 2023-03-05 Orlando City SC 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2023-02-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Houston Dynamo W 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.53 Chicago Fire FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Chicago Fire FC48% Draw22% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	63%	37%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

52%

Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Chicago Fire FC40% Draw35% FC Cincinnati25%

Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 1

6.4%

3 – 1

5.9%

3 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

5.4%

2 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

3.9%

4 – 1

3.7%

3 – 3

Actual

4 – 2

3.5%

1 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap	Chicago Fire FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	15%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	18%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	14%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.