Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Chicago Fire FC

3 – 3

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 19 Mar 2023 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 8' Junior Moreno

Kacper Przybylko 32' 1–1

Rafael Czichos pen 45+1' 2–1

Chris Mueller 46' 3–1

3–2 84' Sergio Santos

3–3 87' Junior Moreno

Carlos Teran 13' Y

Gaston Claudio Gimenez 58' Y

Y 58' Brandon Vazquez

Miguel Navarro 66' Y

Mauricio Pineda 90' Y

Kacper Przybylko 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Soldier Field.

Chicago Fire FC 17 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire FC 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC 2022-05-15 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC 2021-06-24 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Mar	FC Cincinnati	H	3–3	D
12 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
05 Mar	New York City FC	H	1–1	D
09 Oct	New England Revolution	H	1–1	D
01 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	3–2	W
18 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–3	D
12 Mar	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–0	W
05 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	0–0	D
26 Feb	Houston Dynamo	H	2–1	W
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC		FC Cincinnati
#4	Position	#6
29	Points	26
17	Played	18
9 / 2 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
32	Scored	45
23	Conceded	44
+9	GD	+1
1.71	PPG	1.44
53%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

41% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

7/4

31-45

1/5

46-60

2/2

61-75

6/–

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

Hugo Cuypers	11 G
Philip Zinckernagel	5 G	4 A

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
5' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
8' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Junior Moreno on 8.
9' Junior Moreno is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
13' Carlos Teran is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
18' Marco Angulo, a Ecuador , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
23' Chicago Fire FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
28' Brandon Vazquez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
32' Kacper Przybylko is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Chicago Fire FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
42' Chicago Fire FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
46' The Saudi Arabia Rafael Czichos breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-2!
50' Magnificent from Junior Moreno! That is 7 goals in 281 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
55' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Brandon Vazquez.
61' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Ian Murphy exits the field as Sergio Santos enters on 61.
66' The referee calls foul for Miguel Navarro. He receives a Yellow card.
69' Fresh legs for Chicago Fire FC! Jonathan Dean comes on to replace Miguel Navarro.
74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
80' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Brandon Vazquez exits the field as Arquimides Ordonez enters on 80.
81' It is a substitution in Chicago Fire FC team. Maren Haile-Selassie is replaced by Alex Monis on 81 minute.
84' Goal! Sergio Santos scores his 34 goal in 289 matches.
86' Junior Moreno makes no mistake. The score reads 2-5 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
87' GOAL! Junior Moreno fires home to make it 2-6!
88' Another substitution for Chicago Fire FC to replace Arnaud Souquet by Kendall Burks on 88 minute.
90' Mauricio Pineda was booked on 90.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ezra Hendrickson

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

21
Matt Miazga
93
Junior Moreno
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 80'
31
Alvaro Barreal
5
Obinna Nwobodo
9
Brenner da Silva
15
Yerson Mosquera
32
Ian Murphy ↓ Sergio Santos 61'
28
Raymon Gaddis ↓ Santiago Arias 61'
18
Roman Celentano
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Luciano Acosta 80'

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Brian Gutierrez	3
Robert Beric	3
Jhon Duran	3
Rafael Czichos	2
Ignacio Aliseda	2

Head to Head

Chicago Fire FC Form

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2023-03-12 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-03-05 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 New York City FC D 2022-10-09 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 New England Revolution D 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC W 2022-09-18 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 Charlotte FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2023-03-12 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Seattle Sounders FC W 2023-03-05 Orlando City SC 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2023-02-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Houston Dynamo W 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.62 Chicago Fire FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Chicago Fire FC48% Draw22% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	48%	52%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

52%

Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Chicago Fire FC40% Draw35% FC Cincinnati25%

Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 1

5.9%

3 – 1

5.7%

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

5.2%

2 – 3

4.3%

3 – 3

Actual

4 – 1

3.7%

4 – 2

3.7%

2 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap	Chicago Fire FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	15%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	18%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	14%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.