Thursday , 2 July 2026

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sun 19 Mar 2023 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Junior Moreno
Kacper Przybylko 32' 1–1
Rafael Czichos pen 45+1' 2–1
Chris Mueller 46' 3–1
3–2 84' Sergio Santos
3–3 87' Junior Moreno

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Mar FC Cincinnati H 3–3 D
12 Mar Philadelphia Union A 0–1 L
05 Mar New York City FC H 1–1 D
09 Oct New England Revolution H 1–1 D
01 Oct FC Cincinnati A 3–2 W
18 Sep Charlotte FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Mar Chicago Fire FC A 3–3 D
12 Mar Seattle Sounders FC H 1–0 W
05 Mar Orlando City SC A 0–0 D
26 Feb Houston Dynamo H 2–1 W
21 Oct Philadelphia Union A 0–1 L
15 Oct New York Red Bulls A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC FC Cincinnati
#3 Position #7
26 Points 20
14 Played 15
8 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
27 Scored 36
16 Conceded 37
+11 GD -1
1.86 PPG 1.33
57% Win % 33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.63 Chicago Fire FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC51% Draw22% FC Cincinnati27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
49%
Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chicago Fire FC42% Draw35% FC Cincinnati23%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap Chicago Fire FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 16% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 19% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 13% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
18%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.