FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #15 |
| 20 | Points | 7 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 10 |
| 36 | Scored | 18 |
| 37 | Conceded | 30 |
| -1 | GD | -12 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 0.47 |
| 33% | Win % | 7% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Philadelphia Union does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 286 games and scored 477 goals.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Matt Miazga, a USA , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 22' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Olivier Mbaizo.
- 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 32' Olivier Mbaizo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 47' Jakob Glesnes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 286 appearances.
- 48' Yerson Mosquera is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
- 53' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 58' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' Alejandro Bedoya gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Jesus Bueno and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Marco Angulo has done his job and it is now time for Malik Pinto to step up.
- 67' Argentina international Alvaro Barreal has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Luciano Acosta gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 70' The referee has no hesitation. Andre Blake is booked for Philadelphia Union — Yellow card on 70.
- 71' The whistle greets Jose Andres Martinez as he departs to be replaced by Julian Carranza.
- 73' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Santiago Arias by Raymon Gaddis on 73 minute.
- 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 79' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Jack McGlynn on, Olivier Mbaizo off on 79 minutes.
- 84' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 89' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jim Curtin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 90' The crowd applauds Brenner da Silva as he leaves the pitch. Dominique Badji steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Raymon Gaddis 73'
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Sergio Santos 73'
- 93
- 19
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Alvas Powell 90'
- 9
- 15
- 18
-
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Malik Pinto 62'
Bench
-
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 90'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 90'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 73'
- 29
- 32
-
28
Raymon Gaddis ↑ 73'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 62'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Philadelphia Union Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 3
-
15
Olivier Mbaizo ↓ Jack McGlynn 79'
- 8
- 5
- 31
- 2
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Daniel Gazdag 60'
- 26
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 60'
-
25
Chris Donovan ↓ Mikael Uhre 60'
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 60'
- 19
-
9
Julian Carranza ↑ 71'
- 12
-
7
Mikael Uhre ↑ 60'
-
10
Daniel Gazdag ↑ 60'
- 6
-
16
Jack McGlynn ↑ 79'
- 34
Coach
Jim Curtin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 1 |
| Jack Elliott | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2023-04-08
FC Cincinnati
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-04-01
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Sporting Kansas City
D
2023-03-25
Philadelphia Union
1–2
Orlando City SC
L
2023-03-18
Montreal Impact FC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-03-12
Philadelphia Union
1–0
Chicago Fire FC
W
2023-03-05
Internacional CF Miami
2–0
Philadelphia Union
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.33
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + FC Cincinnati to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
83%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
38%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

