FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 46 | Points | 50 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 14 / 8 / 12 |
| 67 | Scored | 66 |
| 75 | Conceded | 52 |
| -8 | GD | +14 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union has kicked off!
- 5' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
- 10' FC Cincinnati have won 381 goals from 264 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Bruno Damiani scoring 3 goals.
- 20' Philadelphia Union started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 22' Olivier Mbaizo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 22.
- 27' Julian Carranza, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 32' It looks surprising Philadelphia Union does not make any changes. Roman Celentano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marco Angulo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 47' Matt Miazga has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 438 appearances.
- 48' Yerson Mosquera catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 48.
- 53' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 60' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Alejandro Bedoya on, Jesus Bueno off on 60 minutes.
- 62' FC Cincinnati make a change. Marco Angulo trudges off to be replaced by Malik Pinto on 62 minutes.
- 67' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Luciano Acosta gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andre Blake on 70.
- 71' A change in the Philadelphia Union ranks — Jose Andres Martinez exits the field as Julian Carranza enters on 71.
- 73' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Santiago Arias by Raymon Gaddis on 73 minute.
- 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 79' The crowd applauds Olivier Mbaizo as he leaves the pitch. Jack McGlynn steps in for Philadelphia Union.
- 84' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 89' Jesus Bueno is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
- 90' Dominique Badji has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brenner da Silva on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Raymon Gaddis 73'
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Sergio Santos 73'
- 93
- 19
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Alvas Powell 90'
- 9
- 15
- 18
-
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Malik Pinto 62'
Bench
-
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 90'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 90'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 73'
- 29
- 32
-
28
Raymon Gaddis ↑ 73'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 62'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Philadelphia Union Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 3
-
15
Olivier Mbaizo ↓ Jack McGlynn 79'
- 8
- 5
- 31
- 2
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Daniel Gazdag 60'
- 26
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 60'
-
25
Chris Donovan ↓ Mikael Uhre 60'
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 60'
- 19
-
9
Julian Carranza ↑ 71'
- 12
-
7
Mikael Uhre ↑ 60'
-
10
Daniel Gazdag ↑ 60'
- 6
-
16
Jack McGlynn ↑ 79'
- 34
Coach
Jim Curtin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Marco Fabian | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2023-04-08
FC Cincinnati
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-04-01
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Sporting Kansas City
D
2023-03-25
Philadelphia Union
1–2
Orlando City SC
L
2023-03-18
Montreal Impact FC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-03-12
Philadelphia Union
1–0
Chicago Fire FC
W
2023-03-05
Internacional CF Miami
2–0
Philadelphia Union
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
71%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
53%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
22%
✗
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

