FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 33 | Points | 39 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 54 |
| 64 | Conceded | 44 |
| -9 | GD | +10 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 31% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 16 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 8 G | 1 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Philadelphia Union does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jim Curtin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' Matt Miazga has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 22' Poor challenge from Olivier Mbaizo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 27' Jack McGlynn is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jim Curtin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 37' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 47' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 47.
- 48' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Yerson Mosquera on 48 minutes.
- 53' FC Cincinnati currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 58' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
- 60' Alejandro Bedoya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jesus Bueno at the 60 minute mark.
- 62' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Marco Angulo has done his job and it is now time for Malik Pinto to step up.
- 67' Jack Elliott, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 69' Against the run of play, Luciano Acosta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 70' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a Yellow card on 70.
- 71' Philadelphia Union make a change. Jose Andres Martinez trudges off to be replaced by Julian Carranza on 71 minutes.
- 73' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 73 minute. Santiago Arias leaves to be changed by Raymon Gaddis.
- 78' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 79' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 79 minute. Olivier Mbaizo leaves to be changed by Jack McGlynn.
- 84' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' The crowd applauds Brenner da Silva as he leaves the pitch. Dominique Badji steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- Another three points for FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Raymon Gaddis 73'
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Sergio Santos 73'
- 93
- 19
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Alvas Powell 90'
- 9
- 15
- 18
-
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Malik Pinto 62'
Bench
-
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 90'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 90'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 73'
- 29
- 32
-
28
Raymon Gaddis ↑ 73'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 62'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Philadelphia Union Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 3
-
15
Olivier Mbaizo ↓ Jack McGlynn 79'
- 8
- 5
- 31
- 2
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Daniel Gazdag 60'
- 26
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 60'
-
25
Chris Donovan ↓ Mikael Uhre 60'
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 60'
- 19
-
9
Julian Carranza ↑ 71'
- 12
-
7
Mikael Uhre ↑ 60'
-
10
Daniel Gazdag ↑ 60'
- 6
-
16
Jack McGlynn ↑ 79'
- 34
Coach
Jim Curtin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Jesus Bueno | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2023-04-08
FC Cincinnati
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-04-01
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Sporting Kansas City
D
2023-03-25
Philadelphia Union
1–2
Orlando City SC
L
2023-03-18
Montreal Impact FC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-03-12
Philadelphia Union
1–0
Chicago Fire FC
W
2023-03-05
Internacional CF Miami
2–0
Philadelphia Union
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 70% + Over 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
53%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✗
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

