Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Nissan Stadium.
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | New York City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Feb | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #8 |
| 77 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 23 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 71 | Scored | 67 |
| 25 | Conceded | 75 |
| +46 | GD | -8 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 68% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nashville SC is hosting FC Cincinnati for another epic battle.
- 5' Nashville SC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Sam Surridge scoring 3 goals.
- 10' Nashville SC have won 341 goals from 231 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 21' The referee calls foul for Obinna Nwobodo. He receives a Yellow card.
- 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary Smith might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Nissan Stadium. Nashville SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Malik Pinto, as he is very good at scoring at Nissan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Malik Pinto gets a Yellow card.
- 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brandon Vazquez makes it 0-1.
- 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 56' Nashville SC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 56.
- 60' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Dax McCarty is replaced by Anibal Godoy on 60 minute.
- 63' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Malik Pinto is replaced by Santiago Arias on 63 minute.
- 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' The Nashville SC manager makes a substitution. Fafa Picault departs to be replaced by Teal Bunbury.
- 72' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Teal Bunbury.
- 76' Another change for Nashville SC made on 76 minute. Sean Davis leaves to be changed by Jan Gregus.
- 78' Jacob Shaffelburg makes way for Luke Haakenson at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nashville SC.
- 80' Alvaro Barreal is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 89' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 89 minute. Luciano Acosta leaves to be changed by Dominique Badji.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
-
54
Sean Davis ↓ Jan Gregus 76'
- 1
-
7
Fafa Picault ↓ Teal Bunbury 70'
- 25
-
6
Dax McCarty ↓ Anibal Godoy 60'
- 2
- 10
- 14
- 5
- 17
Bench
-
20
Anibal Godoy ↑ 60'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 70'
- 19
-
24
Jan Gregus ↑ 76'
- 23
- 27
- 30
-
26
Luke Haakenson ↑ 78'
- 22
Coach
Gary Smith
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
- 4
- 10
- 19
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Alvas Powell 89'
- 5
- 9
- 15
- 28
- 18
-
26
Malik Pinto ↓ Santiago Arias 63'
Bench
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 63'
-
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 89'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 89'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 78'
- 29
- 42
- 32
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 6 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Randall Leal | 4 |
| Charles Sapong | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 2 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.46
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Nashville SC to win 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
81%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
41%
Nashville SC or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.6%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 21% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

