Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 1

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 06:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Sho Sasaki 8' Y

Y 23' Rafael Ratao

Daiki Suga 57' Y

Shuto Nakano 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 games · Avg 2.2 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-05-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
02 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	1–0	W
29 Mar	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	0–1	L
16 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
02 Mar	Yokohama FC	H	1–0	W
26 Feb	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
02 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	2–1	W
28 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
15 Mar	Yokohama FC	A	0–2	L
08 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–1	D
02 Mar	Albirex Niigata	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Cerezo Osaka FC
#4	Position	#2
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
41	Scored	48
33	Conceded	38
+8	GD	+10
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

31% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/5

61-75

5/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Cerezo Osaka FC

Solomon Sakuragawa	4 G
Pablo Sabbag	3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka FC.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
8' Sho Sasaki was booked on 8.
13' Daiki Suga has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
15' Lucas Fernandes puts Cerezo Osaka FC on the lead.
17' Naoto Arai adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
22' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 456 goals from 347 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
23' Rafael Ratao was booked on 23.
28' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
33' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
38' Ryuya Nishio is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
43' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tsukasa Shiotani is hanging Naoto Arai on the field on 46 minute.
51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
56' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Kyohei Noborizato is replaced by Niko Takahashi.
57' That looks like a foul for a card for Daiki Suga.
58' Daiki Suga makes way for Shunki Higashi at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
62' Shion Homma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Fernandes on 62 minute.
66' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mutsuki Kato is hanging Naoki Maeda on the field on 66 minute.
71' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
76' Hayao Kawabe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
80' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
80' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 80 minute. Sota Kitano leaves to be changed by Vitor Bueno.
85' It looks surprising Cerezo Osaka FC does not make any changes. Ryosuke Shindo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
86' Hayato Araki doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Shion Homma 62'
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↓ Niko Takahashi 56'
3
Ryosuke Shindo
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Hinata Kida 80'
13
Motohiko Nakajima
10
Shunta Tanaka
33
Ryuya Nishio
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Masaya Shibayama 62'
21
Jin-hyeon Kim
38
Sota Kitano ↓ Vitor Bueno 80'
16
Hayato Okuda

Bench

8
Shinji Kagawa
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 80'
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 80'
7
Satoki Uejo
19
Shion Homma ↑ 62'
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 62'
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 56'
24
Jaroensak Wonggorn

Coach Arthur Papas

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shun Ayukawa	3
Douglas Vieira	3
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Hayato Araki	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Lucas Fernandes	2
Akito Suzuki	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2025-04-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2025-03-29 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-03-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2025-03-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Yokohama FC W 2025-02-26 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-03-28 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2025-03-15 Yokohama FC 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.39 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima54% Draw23% Cerezo Osaka FC23%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

46%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima38% Draw40% Cerezo Osaka FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

0 – 0

4.7%

3 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	21%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.