Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 1

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 06:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Sho Sasaki 8' Y

Y 23' Rafael Ratao

Daiki Suga 57' Y

Shuto Nakano 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.0 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-05-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
02 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	1–0	W
29 Mar	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–1	L
16 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
02 Mar	Yokohama FC	H	1–0	W
26 Feb	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
02 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	2–1	W
28 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
15 Mar	Yokohama FC	A	0–2	L
08 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–1	D
02 Mar	Albirex Niigata	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Cerezo Osaka FC
#4	Position	#2
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
41	Scored	48
33	Conceded	38
+8	GD	+10
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka FC get this one started.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryo Germain, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
8' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a card for a hard tackle on 8.
13' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' Lucas Fernandes is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
17' Assisted by Ryo Germain with the perfectly-timed delivery and Naoto Arai makes no mistake. 1-1!
22' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
23' Rafael Ratao has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 23.
28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
33' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
38' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Naoto Arai exits the field as Tsukasa Shiotani enters on 46.
51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 100% of all matches.
56' Niko Takahashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyohei Noborizato on 56 minute.
57' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a card on 57.
58' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Daiki Suga is replaced by Shunki Higashi on 58 minute.
62' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Shion Homma on, Lucas Fernandes off on 62 minutes.
66' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Naoki Maeda is replaced by Mutsuki Kato.
71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
76' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
80' Shuto Nakano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
80' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Sota Kitano trudges off to be replaced by Vitor Bueno on 80 minutes.
85' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
86' Sensational shot from Hayato Araki. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is back in the lead.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Shion Homma 62'
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↓ Niko Takahashi 56'
3
Ryosuke Shindo
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Hinata Kida 80'
13
Motohiko Nakajima
10
Shunta Tanaka
33
Ryuya Nishio
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Masaya Shibayama 62'
21
Jin-hyeon Kim
38
Sota Kitano ↓ Vitor Bueno 80'
16
Hayato Okuda

Bench

8
Shinji Kagawa
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 80'
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 80'
7
Satoki Uejo
19
Shion Homma ↑ 62'
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 62'
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 56'
24
Jaroensak Wonggorn

Coach Arthur Papas

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Douglas Vieira	3
Hayato Araki	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Lucas Fernandes	2
Kosuke Kinoshita	2
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Sho Inagaki	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2025-04-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2025-03-29 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-03-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2025-03-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Yokohama FC W 2025-02-26 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-03-28 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2025-03-15 Yokohama FC 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.39 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima54% Draw23% Cerezo Osaka FC23%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

46%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima38% Draw40% Cerezo Osaka FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

0 – 0

4.7%

3 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	21%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.