Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Yokohama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Cerezo Osaka FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 8' It’s gonna be a card for Sho Sasaki.
- 13' Ryo Germain needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' What a strike from Lucas Fernandes! The score is 0-1.
- 17' Naoto Arai makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
- 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 23' Poor challenge from Rafael Ratao. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 28' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hayato Okuda, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 43' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Tsukasa Shiotani gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Naoto Arai and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' The 29-year-old Shunta Tanaka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' The supporters are chanting for Niko Takahashi. He replaces Kyohei Noborizato on 56 minute.
- 57' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Daiki Suga on 57 minutes.
- 58' The whistle greets Daiki Suga as he departs to be replaced by Shunki Higashi.
- 62' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Lucas Fernandes trudges off to be replaced by Shion Homma on 62 minutes.
- 66' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Naoki Maeda exits the field as Mutsuki Kato enters on 66.
- 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 76' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 80' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a card in front of him.
- 80' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Vitor Bueno on, Sota Kitano off on 80 minutes.
- 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 86' Brilliant from the ! Hayato Araki makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 86.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Sota Nakamura 46'
- 9
- 19
-
18
Daiki Suga ↓ Shunki Higashi 58'
- 1
- 6
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Mutsuki Kato 66'
- 4
- 14
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Tsukasa Shiotani 46'
- 15
Bench
- 3
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 58'
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 46'
- 20
- 32
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 66'
- 40
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Shion Homma 62'
- 6
- 3
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Hinata Kida 80'
- 13
- 10
- 33
- 11
- 21
-
38
Sota Kitano ↓ Vitor Bueno 80'
- 16
Bench
- 8
-
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 80'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 80'
- 7
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 62'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 62'
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 56'
- 24
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-04-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2025-03-29
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-03-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2025-03-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Yokohama FC
W
2025-02-26
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
77%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
46%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

