Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yuzo Sutani
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 6–5 | W |
| 05 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Mar | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima!
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 12' What a moment for Thiago Andrade! That strike on 12 puts his side firmly in control.
- 17' The 31-year-old Kosuke Nakamura has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 22' Dion Cools has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 27' Taishi Matsumoto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Papas will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Thiago Andrade is replaced by Solomon Sakuragawa on 46 minute.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 53' That is a card for Cerezo Osaka FC. Ayumu Ohata will be fuming at that decision.
- 56' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Yotaro Nakajima exits the field as Shuto Nakano enters on 56.
- 61' Japan international Yotaro Nakajima has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Tsukasa Shiotani.
- 63' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Shion Homma trudges off to be replaced by Satoki Uejo on 63 minutes.
- 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 72' The whistle greets Akito Suzuki as he departs to be replaced by Naoki Maeda.
- 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 376 games and scored 401 goals.
- 78' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dion Cools is hanging Hayato Okuda on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 85' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 85 minute. Taishi Matsumoto leaves to be changed by Motoki Ohara.
- 86' GOAL! Dion Cools scores on 86.
- 88' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Motohiko Nakajima trudges off to be replaced by Yumeki Yokoyama on 88 minutes.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
-
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↓ Motoki Ohara 85'
- 24
- 33
- 4
- 13
- 30
-
10
Akito Suzuki ↓ Naoki Maeda 72'
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↓ Shuto Nakano 56'
-
11
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Ryo Germain 72'
Bench
-
9
Ryo Germain ↑ 72'
- 18
- 3
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 72'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 56'
- 99
- 25
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 56'
-
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 85'
Coach
Bartosch Gaul
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 23
- 13
- 66
- 10
- 11
- 4
- 18
-
19
Shion Homma ↓ Satoki Uejo 63'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 78'
- 48
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 78'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 78'
- 35
- 5
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 63'
- 3
- 21
-
9
Solomon Sakuragawa ↑ 46'
-
14
Yumeki Yokoyama ↑ 88'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2026-04-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–5
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2026-04-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2026-03-27
Vissel Kobe
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2026-03-22
Shimizu S-Pulse
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
76%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 16% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

