Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sat 28 Jul 2018 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hisashi Nakai
  • Referee Naoya Okawa
  • Referee Yusuke Shiotsu
  • Referee Nobutsugu Murakami

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Júbilo Iwata H 0–0 D
22 Jul Vegalta Sendai H 0–1 L
18 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 1–1 D
20 May FC Tokyo H 0–0 D
13 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
11 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
22 Jul Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–0 D
18 Jul Kashima Antlers H 3–3 D
19 May Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L
13 May Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
12 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Júbilo Iwata in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Júbilo Iwata are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Yoshiki Takahashi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuji Ono made 279 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Hiroki Yamada has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at . Júbilo Iwata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' Júbilo Iwata is showing some good football. However, Júbilo Iwata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 55' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 65' The travelling Júbilo Iwata supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 75' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Júbilo Iwata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 85' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Júbilo Iwata's shape.
  • 90' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Júbilo Iwata share the spoils 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.76 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + Júbilo Iwata or Draw 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC31% Draw35% Júbilo Iwata34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
69%
Sagan Tosu FC or Júbilo Iwata
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC18% Draw60% Júbilo Iwata22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
15.6%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 2
7.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
0 – 3
2.1%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 18% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 22% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.