Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Shimizu S-Pulse

3 – 3

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 31 Jul 2022 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 12 games · Avg 2.6 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-07-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-04-17 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Shimizu S-Pulse 2021-09-11 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2021-03-14 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–3	D
16 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
10 Jul	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–0	W
06 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
02 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	3–5	L
26 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jul	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–3	D
16 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	2–2	D
10 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–1	L
02 Jul	Vissel Kobe	H	0–2	L
26 Jun	FC Tokyo	H	5–0	W
18 Jun	Júbilo Iwata	A	1–3	L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

8% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/4

61-75

4/6

76+

1/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

Se-hun Oh	2 G
Koya Kitagawa	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu FC has kicked off!
4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuto Iwasaki makes it 0-1.
5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuto Iwasaki makes it 0-2.
10' Naoyuki Fujita has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' Valdo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
25' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Ryohei Shirasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
30' A goal from the Japan international Yoichi Naganuma! He fires home on 30 to make it 0-3!
35' The 33-year-old Yuki Horigome has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
45' South Korea international Hwang Seokho has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
57' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Kentaro Moriya exits the field as Fuchi Honda enters on 57.
62' Brilliant from the ! Ryohei Shirasaki makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 62.
63' The Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes a substitution. Yusuke Goto departs to be replaced by Takashi Inui.
66' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 66 minute. Valdo leaves to be changed by Teruki Hara.
71' A quiet spell here at . Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
72' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Taisei Miyashiro has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Kakita to step up.
77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
78' The crowd applauds Ryohei Shirasaki as he leaves the pitch. Ryo Takeuchi steps in for Shimizu S-Pulse.
80' What a strike from Yuki Horigome! The score is 1-4.
81' The Japan Koya Kitagawa breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 2-4!
83' Against the run of play, Thiago Santana has scored! This game has turned on its head.
84' Brilliant from the ! Thiago Santana makes it 4-4 with a superb finish on 84.
86' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoyuki Fujita is hanging Akito Fukuta on the field on 86 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

33
Takashi Inui ↑ 63'
6
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 78'
45
Koya Kitagawa ↑ 63'
4
Teruki Hara ↑ 66'
10
Carlinhos ↑ 63'
25
Kengo Nagai
20
Se-Hun Oh

Coach Ze Ricardo

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 86'
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 72'
8
Fuchi Honda ↑ 57'
19
Yuki Kakita ↑ 72'
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 57'
23
Taichi Kikuchi
31
Masahiro Okamoto

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Riki Harakawa	3
Thiago Santana	3
Douglas	3
Yuto Iwasaki	2
Fernando Torres	2
Douglas	1
Yoichi Naganuma	1
Yuki Horigome	1

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2022-07-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–3 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-07-16 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2022-07-10 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2022-07-06 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2022-07-02 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–5 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2022-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-07-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–3 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F.Marinos D 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2022-07-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tokyo W 2022-06-18 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.69 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.64 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse40% Draw25% Sagan Tosu FC35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

66%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

60%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse30% Draw42% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 0

5.3%

0 – 1

5.1%

2 – 0

5.1%

0 – 0

5.1%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.5%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	18%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.