Sunday , 16 August 2026

SSV Ulm 1846 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 12:00 UTC Donaustadion 12,098 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 81' Marvin Mehlem
0–2 90+7' Adriano Grimaldi

Overview

Match Preview

SSV Ulm 1846 vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Donaustadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Bauer
  • Assistant 1 Luca Schlosser
  • Assistant 2 Felix Wagner (Germany)

Head-to-Head

1
1
SSV Ulm 1846 2 games · Avg 1.0 goals SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb SC Paderborn 07 H 0–2 L
01 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–3 L
26 Jan SSV Jahn Regensburg H 5–1 W
18 Jan 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–2 L
21 Dec SC Preußen Münster A 0–0 D
14 Dec Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 A 2–0 W
02 Feb SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 1–2 L
26 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
19 Jan Hertha BSC H 1–2 L
21 Dec Karlsruher SC H 1–2 L
14 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Donaustadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Maurice Krattenmacher has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 200 appearances.
  • 10' It’s high time Thomas Worle made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Lukas Kwasniok might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. SSV Ulm 1846 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marvin Mehlem suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' Philippines international Raphael Obermair has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' Aaron Keller is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SSV Ulm 1846 so far.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' It’s gonna be a card for Dennis Dressel.
  • 51' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Santiago Castaneda comes on to replace Calvin Brackelmann.
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Raphael Obermair argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 56' The supporters are chanting for Luka Hyrylainen. He replaces Felix Higl on 56 minute.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Filip Bilbija on 60 minutes earns him a card. SC Paderborn 07 will be frustrated.
  • 64' Lennart Stoll was booked on 64.
  • 69' SSV Ulm 1846 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Ilyas Ansah. He replaces Filip Bilbija on 71 minute.
  • 73' It is a substitution in SSV Ulm 1846 team. Maurice Krattenmacher is replaced by Robert Leipertz on 73 minute.
  • 75' Marvin Mehlem picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 81' The deadlock is broken! Marvin Mehlem gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
  • 83' It is a substitution in SSV Ulm 1846 team. Oliver Batista-Meier is replaced by Lucas Roser on 83 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Sebastian Klaas. He replaces Casper Terho on 86 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Tjark Scheller on 90 minutes earns him a card. SC Paderborn 07 will be frustrated.
  • SSV Ulm 1846 will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.98 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSV Ulm 184631% Draw32% SC Paderborn 0737%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SSV Ulm 1846 or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
69%
SSV Ulm 1846 or SC Paderborn 07
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSV Ulm 184621% Draw52% SC Paderborn 0727%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SSV Ulm 1846

Handicap SSV Ulm 1846 covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
31%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.