SSV Ulm 1846 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SSV Ulm 1846 vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Donaustadion.
- SSV Ulm 1846 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Bauer
- Assistant 1 Luca Schlosser
- Assistant 2 Felix Wagner (Germany)
4 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 18.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabruck | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Jan | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | SC Preußen Münster | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Dec | Hamburger SV | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | SSV Ulm 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | Hertha BSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. SC Paderborn 07 get us underway at Donaustadion.
- 5' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Lukas Kwasniok might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. SSV Ulm 1846 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Casper Terho is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 321 games and scored 235 goals.
- 40' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' SSV Ulm 1846 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
- 50' SSV Ulm 1846 receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
- 51' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Calvin Brackelmann is replaced by Santiago Castaneda.
- 52' The referee calls foul for Raphael Obermair. He receives a card.
- 56' It is a substitution in SSV Ulm 1846 team. Felix Higl is replaced by Luka Hyrylainen on 56 minute.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Filip Bilbija on 60.
- 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Lennart Stoll.
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 71' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Filip Bilbija is replaced by Ilyas Ansah on 71 minute.
- 73' A tactical swap from SSV Ulm 1846 — Robert Leipertz on, Maurice Krattenmacher off on 73 minutes.
- 75' A moment of madness from Marvin Mehlem on 75 minutes earns him a card. SC Paderborn 07 will be frustrated.
- 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Brandt suffering a number of foals already.
- 81' The Germany Marvin Mehlem breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 0-1!
- 83' A change in the SSV Ulm 1846 ranks — Oliver Batista-Meier exits the field as Lucas Roser enters on 83.
- 86' The whistle greets Casper Terho as he departs to be replaced by Sebastian Klaas.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tjark Scheller on 90 minutes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Paderborn 07 players.
Lineups
SSV Ulm 1846 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 14
- 18
- 39
-
33
Felix Higl ↓ Luka Hyrylainen 56'
- 21
- 32
- 4
- 23
- 27
- 16
- 30
Bench
- 19
-
13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 73'
-
9
Lucas Roser ↑ 83'
- 5
- 11
- 1
- 7
- 10
-
38
Luka Hyrylainen ↑ 56'
Coach
Thomas Worle
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 20
- 6
- 30
- 39
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Ilyas Ansah 71'
-
24
Casper Terho ↓ Sebastian Klaas 86'
- 33
- 4
- 32
- 25
Bench
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 86'
- 35
- 19
-
5
Santiago Castaneda ↑ 51'
- 17
- 22
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 71'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marvin Mehlem | 1 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
Head to Head
SSV Ulm 1846 Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.98
SSV Ulm 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
SSV Ulm 1846 or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
69%
SSV Ulm 1846 or SC Paderborn 07
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — SSV Ulm 1846
| Handicap | SSV Ulm 1846 covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.