SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Paderborn 07

1 – 2

Full Time

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903

Sun 2 Feb 2025 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 12,310 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 21' Branimir Hrgota

0–2 50' Noah Loosli

Adriano Grimaldi 63' 1–2

Manuel Riemann 26' R

Y 35' Julian Green

Marcel Hoffmeier 43' Y

Sven Michel 45' Y

Y 45' Dennis Srbeny

Ilyas Ansah 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Richard Hempel (Germany)
Assistant 1 Tobias Schultes
Assistant 2 Daniel Bartnitzki (Germany)

10 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 6.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV 07 Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nurnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum 1848	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	34	37
17	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	34	37
18	SC Preussen Munster	34	30

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-02 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 2024-08-24 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 2024-01-21 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 2023-07-30 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 5–0 SC Paderborn 07 2018-04-02 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Feb	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	H	1–2	L
26 Jan	SV Darmstadt 98	A	1–0	W
19 Jan	Hertha BSC	H	1–2	L
21 Dec	Karlsruher SC	H	1–2	L
14 Dec	1. FC Magdeburg	A	1–1	D
06 Dec	FC Schalke 04	H	2–4	L

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Feb	SC Paderborn 07	A	2–1	W
24 Jan	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	2–4	L
18 Jan	SC Preussen Munster	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	Hamburger SV	A	0–5	L
15 Dec	Hannover 96	H	1–0	W
07 Dec	Hertha BSC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07		SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
#3	Position	#16
62	Points	37
34	Played	34
18 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 7 / 17
59	Scored	49
45	Conceded	68
+14	GD	-19
1.82	PPG	1.09
53%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

15% Clean Sheets
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 are 16th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

–/3

61-75

–/–

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' SC Paderborn 07 have kicked off against SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Calvin Brackelmann is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 tonight.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
15' It looks like no one’s ball. SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
21' GOAL! Branimir Hrgota scores on 21.
26' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 26.
28' Markus Schubert is replacing Casper Terho for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
33' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
35' Controversy at the stadium! Julian Green argues furiously but the card stands.
40' Nahuel Noll, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcel Hoffmeier on 43 minutes.
45' Sven Michel was booked on 45.
46' The whistle greets Visar Musliu as he departs to be replaced by Adriano Grimaldi.
50' Noah Loosli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Paderborn 07 and SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
60' SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 make a change. Dennis Srbeny trudges off to be replaced by Noel Futkeu on 60 minutes.
63' Adriano Grimaldi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Felix Klaus suffering a number of foals already.
70' Roberto Massimo is replacing Felix Klaus for the SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 side.
72' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Santiago Castaneda comes on to replace Marvin Mehlem.
77' SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
79' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Ilyas Ansah on, Filip Bilbija off on 79 minutes.
84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
89' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ilyas Ansah on 90.
90' Simon Asta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marco Meyerhofer on 90 minute.
Full Time. SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 beats SC Paderborn 07

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

1
Manuel Riemann
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Santiago Castaneda 72'
11
Sven Michel
16
Visar Musliu ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 46'
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Ilyas Ansah 79'
24
Casper Terho ↓ Markus Schubert 28'
33
Marcel Hoffmeier
4
Calvin Brackelmann
32
Aaron Zehnter
25
Tjark Scheller
46
Luis Engelns ↓ Luca Herrmann 72'

Bench

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

23
Gideon Jung
2
Simon Asta ↑ 90'
11
Roberto Massimo ↑ 70'
31
Lennart Grill
17
Niko Giesselmann ↑ 70'
28
Jannik Mause
14
Jomaine Consbruch
9
Noel Futkeu ↑ 60'
6
Sacha Banse ↑ 90'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Branimir Hrgota	3
Armindo Sieb	2
Adriano Grimaldi	2
Filip Bilbija	1
Stefano Marino	1
Tim Lemperle	1
Damian Michalski	1
Gian-Luca Itter	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2025-02-02 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 L 2025-01-26 SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 SC Paderborn 07 W 2025-01-19 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Hertha BSC L 2024-12-21 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Karlsruher SC L 2024-12-14 1. FC Magdeburg 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-12-06 SC Paderborn 07 2–4 FC Schalke 04 L

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 Form

2025-02-02 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 W 2025-01-24 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 2–4 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 2025-01-18 SC Preussen Munster 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 L 2024-12-21 Hamburger SV 5–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 L 2024-12-15 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 1–0 Hannover 96 W 2024-12-07 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 2–1 Hertha BSC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.01 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.58 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 xG

I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0742% Draw24% SpVgg Greuther Furth 190334%

Actual: SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.59

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

66%

Draw or SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903

58%

SC Paderborn 07 or SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0736% Draw40% SpVgg Greuther Furth 190324%

Actual: SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.7%

2 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.1%

0 – 1

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	20%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	15%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.