Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
17 games this season
🟨 3.5/game
⚽ 12.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Elche CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Mar | Atalanta BC | A | 6–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 G |
| Federico Valverde | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 1 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' The 26-year-old Josip Stanisic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' FC Bayern München seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 37' Aurelien Tchouameni picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 41' A goal from the Colombia international Luis Diaz! He fires home on 41 to make it 0-1!
- 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Kane makes it 0-2.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 62' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Eder Militao on, Dean Huijsen off on 62 minutes.
- 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Jamal Musiala comes on to replace Serge Gnabry.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Jonathan Tah. He receives a card.
- 71' The whistle greets Arda Guler as he departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
- 74' Kylian Mbappe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 19 goals this season for the .
- 77' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Diaz argues furiously but the card stands.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Manuel Neuer. He receives a card.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jamal Musiala on 86.
- 90' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Luis Diaz exits the field as Tom Bischof enters on 90.
- Full Time. FC Bayern München beats Real Madrid CF
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
- 10
- 14
- 13
- 8
- 7
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Brahim Diaz 71'
- 18
-
24
Dean Huijsen ↓ Eder Militao 62'
- 45
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 71'
- 4
- 19
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 62'
- 6
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↑ 62'
- 20
- 26
- 16
- 17
- 30
Coach
Arbeloa
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Jamal Musiala 69'
- 1
- 6
- 4
- 2
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↓ Alphonso Davies 69'
-
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Tom Bischof 90'
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 90'
- 22
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 69'
- 21
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↑ 69'
- 3
- 40
-
20
Tom Bischof ↑ 90'
- 11
- 42
- 38
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Bayern München
63%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

