Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

Tue 7 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 77,106 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Luis Diaz
0–2 46' Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappe 74' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF FC Bayern München
#9 Position #2
15 Points 21
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
21 Scored 22
12 Conceded 8
+9 GD +14
1.88 PPG 2.63
63% Win % 88%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
100% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Harry Kane 1 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 1 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' The 26-year-old Josip Stanisic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' FC Bayern München seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' Aurelien Tchouameni picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 41' A goal from the Colombia international Luis Diaz! He fires home on 41 to make it 0-1!
  • 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Kane makes it 0-2.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Eder Militao on, Dean Huijsen off on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Jamal Musiala comes on to replace Serge Gnabry.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Jonathan Tah. He receives a card.
  • 71' The whistle greets Arda Guler as he departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
  • 74' Kylian Mbappe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 19 goals this season for the .
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Diaz argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Manuel Neuer. He receives a card.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jamal Musiala on 86.
  • 90' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Luis Diaz exits the field as Tom Bischof enters on 90.
  • Full Time. FC Bayern München beats Real Madrid CF

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF37% Draw24% FC Bayern München39%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Bayern München
63%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF30% Draw38% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.