Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 FINAL

Sat 1 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Wembley Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 74' Dani Carvajal
0–2 83' Vinicius Junior

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Wembley Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jun Real Madrid CF H 0–2 L
18 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 4–0 W
11 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–3 L
07 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
04 May FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
01 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jun Borussia Dortmund A 2–0 W
25 May Real Betis Balompie H 0–0 D
19 May Villarreal CF A 4–4 D
14 May Deportivo Alaves H 5–0 W
11 May Granada CF A 4–0 W
08 May FC Bayern München H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Real Madrid CF
#17 Position #9
11 Points 15
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
19 Scored 21
17 Conceded 12
+2 GD +9
1.38 PPG 1.88
38% Win % 63%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Borussia Dortmund are 17th (11 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Real Madrid CF gets underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' The referee calls foul for Vinicius Junior. He receives a card.
  • 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nico Schlotterbeck on 40.
  • 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Marcel Sabitzer.
  • 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' Real Madrid CF looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Arda Guler scoring 1 goals.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emre Can made 519 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vinicius Junior, as he is very good at scoring at Wembley Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 72' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 72 minute. Karim Adeyemi leaves to be changed by Marco Reus.
  • 74' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Dani Carvajal on 74.
  • 79' It’s gonna be a card for Mats Hummels.
  • 80' The whistle greets Emre Can as he departs to be replaced by Donyell Malen.
  • 83' What a strike from Vinicius Junior! The score is 0-2.
  • 85' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Jude Bellingham by Joselu on 85 minute.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Jamie Bynoe-Gittens. He replaces Jadon Sancho on 87 minute.
  • 90' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Rodrygo departs to be replaced by Eder Militao.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid CF (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.99 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund31% Draw22% Real Madrid CF47%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
54%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
69%
Borussia Dortmund or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund26% Draw35% Real Madrid CF39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 3
3.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 4
3.6%
2 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 14% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 18% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 14% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
9%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.