Saturday , 14 November 2026

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Wed 24 Sep 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
10 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
17 Sep Liverpool FC A 2–3 L
13 Sep Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
30 Aug Deportivo Alavés A 1–1 D
23 Aug Elche CF H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 2–3 L
21 Sep RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D
14 Sep CA Osasuna A 0–2 L
31 Aug FC Barcelona H 1–1 D
25 Aug Athletic Club A 0–1 L
15 Aug Girona FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Club Atlético de Madrid Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#3 Position #13
28 Points 12
12 Played 11
9 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 5
23 Scored 15
10 Conceded 21
+13 GD -6
2.33 PPG 1.09
75% Win % 27%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
10% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Club Atlético de Madrid are 3rd (28 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 13th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
5/2
61-75
3/3
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
4/2
16-30
2/6
31-45
2/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
1/3
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
Alex Baena 5 G 3 A
Alejandro Grimaldo 4 G 2 A
Giuliano Simeone 4 G 2 A
Jonathan David 3 G 2 A
Kang-in Lee 2 G 1 A
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 2 A
Alvaro Garcia 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Club Atlético de Madrid Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.78 Club Atlético de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Club Atlético de Madrid to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atlético de Madrid71% Draw17% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid12%
Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw
88%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
29%
Club Atlético de Madrid or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Club Atlético de Madrid56% Draw34% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.7%
3 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.8%
4 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
3.6%
5 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid

Handicap Club Atlético de Madrid covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 34% — 66%
-2 34% 21% 45%
-1.5 55% — 45%
-1 55% 20% 25%
-0.5 75% — 25%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.