Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Sevilla FC, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 12:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Sevilla FCLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Sevilla FC H 0–1 L
24 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 2–3 L
21 Sep RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D
14 Sep CA Osasuna A 0–2 L
31 Aug FC Barcelona H 1–1 D
25 Aug Athletic Club A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
23 Sep Villarreal CF H 1–2 L
20 Sep Deportivo Alaves A 2–1 W
12 Sep Elche CF H 2–2 D
30 Aug Girona FC A 2–0 W
25 Aug Getafe CF H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Sevilla FC
#8 Position #15
50 Points 43
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 19
41 Scored 46
44 Conceded 60
-3 GD -14
1.32 PPG 1.13
32% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Sevilla FC are 15th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

Sevilla FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Sevilla FC xG
I would bet for: Sevilla FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid30% Draw30% Sevilla FC40%
Actual: Sevilla FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
60%
Draw or Sevilla FC
70%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Sevilla FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid22% Draw52% Sevilla FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Sevilla FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
31%
Sevilla FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.