RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | RB Leipzig | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 May | FC Augsburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 03 May | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 4–4 | D |
| 13 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 65 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 66 | Scored | 71 |
| 47 | Conceded | 49 |
| +19 | GD | +22 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 59% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Red Bull Arena!
- 5' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 8' Assisted by Ridle Baku with the perfectly-timed delivery and Xavi Simons makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 13' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 18' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 23' GOAL! Deniz Undav scores on 23. Assisted by Maximilian Mittelstadt
- 28' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against VfB Stuttgart's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tidiam Gomis on 33 minutes.
- 38' Ermedin Demirovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 44' Assisted by Xavi Simons with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ridle Baku makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Enzo Millot made 422 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 54' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 57' Against the run of play, Nick Woltemade has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 58' Ermedin Demirovic gets the nod from VfB Stuttgart. He replaces Jamie Leweling and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Zsolt Low will be considering his options from the bench.
- 67' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Tidiam Gomis for the RB Leipzig side.
- 69' The crowd applauds Maximilian Mittelstadt as he leaves the pitch. Chris Fuhrich steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
- 74' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and VfB Stuttgart are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 77' Lois Openda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonio Nusa on 77 minute.
- 78' VfB Stuttgart is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ermedin Demirovic on 78.
- 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 84' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Nick Woltemade exits the field as Jacob Bruun Larsen enters on 84.
- 86' Benjamin Sesko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yussuf Poulsen on 86 minute.
- Full Time. VfB Stuttgart beats RB Leipzig
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 17
- 1
- 44
- 22
- 10
- 13
- 5
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↓ Lois Openda 77'
- 18
-
27
Tidiam Gomis ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 67'
Bench
-
11
Lois Openda ↑ 77'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 77'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 67'
- 4
- 26
- 30
- 20
- 21
- 45
Coach
Zsolt Low
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 24
- 4
- 7
- 33
- 18
- 11
- 26
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Nikolas Nartey 69'
- 3
-
14
Luca Jaquez ↓ Finn Jeltsch 84'
Bench
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↑ 58'
- 23
-
25
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 84'
- 15
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↑ 69'
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 69'
- 1
- 32
-
29
Finn Jeltsch ↑ 84'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deniz Undav | 4 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 4 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Nick Woltemade | 3 |
| Xavi Simons | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
65%
RB Leipzig or VfB Stuttgart
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

