Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 8' 1–0
1–1 23' Deniz Undav
Ridle Baku 44' 2–1
2–2 57' Nick Woltemade
2–3 78' Ermedin Demirovic
Tidiam Gomis 33' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May VfB Stuttgart H 2–3 L
10 May SV Werder Bremen A 0–0 D
03 May FC Bayern München H 3–3 D
26 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
11 May FC Augsburg H 4–0 W
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
19 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–4 D
13 Apr SV Werder Bremen H 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart
#3 Position #4
65 Points 62
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
66 Scored 71
47 Conceded 49
+19 GD +22
1.91 PPG 1.82
59% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Red Bull Arena!
  • 5' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 8' Assisted by Ridle Baku with the perfectly-timed delivery and Xavi Simons makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 13' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 18' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 23' GOAL! Deniz Undav scores on 23. Assisted by Maximilian Mittelstadt
  • 28' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against VfB Stuttgart's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tidiam Gomis on 33 minutes.
  • 38' Ermedin Demirovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' Assisted by Xavi Simons with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ridle Baku makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Enzo Millot made 422 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 54' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 57' Against the run of play, Nick Woltemade has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 58' Ermedin Demirovic gets the nod from VfB Stuttgart. He replaces Jamie Leweling and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Zsolt Low will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 67' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Tidiam Gomis for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Maximilian Mittelstadt as he leaves the pitch. Chris Fuhrich steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 74' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and VfB Stuttgart are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 77' Lois Openda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonio Nusa on 77 minute.
  • 78' VfB Stuttgart is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ermedin Demirovic on 78.
  • 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 84' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Nick Woltemade exits the field as Jacob Bruun Larsen enters on 84.
  • 86' Benjamin Sesko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yussuf Poulsen on 86 minute.
  • Full Time. VfB Stuttgart beats RB Leipzig

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig35% Draw23% VfB Stuttgart42%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
65%
RB Leipzig or VfB Stuttgart
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig30% Draw36% VfB Stuttgart34%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 16% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 17% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
12%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.