Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Benjamin Sesko 11' 1–0
Lukas Klostermann 39' 2–0
2–1 62' Eric Dier
2–2 63' Michael Olise
2–3 83' Leroy Sane
Yussuf Poulsen 90+5' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC Bayern München H 3–3 D
26 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RB Leipzig A 3–3 D
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern München
#9 Position #2
6 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
9 Scored 14
5 Conceded 2
+4 GD +12
1.50 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' David Raum has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 29 cards already picked up this season.
  • 11' Benjamin Sesko puts RB Leipzig on the lead.
  • 16' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 21' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' Germany international Leon Goretzka has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' It looks surprising FC Bayern Munchen does not make any changes. Kevin Kampl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 36' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lukas Klostermann makes it 2-0.
  • 44' Michael Olise is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 49' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern Munchen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for David Raum on 50.
  • 55' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 3-5-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 61' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Thomas Muller by Kingsley Coman on 61 minute.
  • 62' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Eric Dier makes it 2-1.
  • 63' A goal from the France international Michael Olise! He fires home on 63 to make it 2-2!
  • 68' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Yussuf Poulsen comes on to replace Benjamin Sesko.
  • 70' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Amadou Haidara is withdrawn and Arthur Vermeeren gets his opportunity.
  • 74' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Eric Dier will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' Kevin Kampl catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
  • 78' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ridle Baku is hanging Kevin Kampl on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' The deadlock is broken! Leroy Sane gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
  • 86' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Lutsharel Geertruida comes on to replace Kosta Nedeljkovic.
  • 88' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Palhinha is hanging Serge Gnabry on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' Arthur Vermeeren was booked on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — RB Leipzig 3-3 FC Bayern Munchen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.41 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig27% Draw23% FC Bayern München50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig19% Draw37% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
3.4%
0 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 20% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 17% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.