Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Benjamin Sesko 11' 1–0
Lukas Klostermann 39' 2–0
2–1 62' Eric Dier
2–2 63' Michael Olise
2–3 83' Leroy Sane
Yussuf Poulsen 90+5' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC Bayern München H 3–3 D
26 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RB Leipzig A 3–3 D
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern München
#3 Position #1
65 Points 89
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
66 Scored 122
47 Conceded 36
+19 GD +86
1.91 PPG 2.62
59% Win % 82%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Castello Lukeba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 11' GOAL! Benjamin Sesko scores on 11. Assisted by Xavi Simons
  • 16' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 21' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Xavi Simons made 520 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' RB Leipzig currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' Lukas Klostermann has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
  • 44' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 49' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 50' The referee has no hesitation. David Raum is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 50.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
  • 60' Amadou Haidara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 61' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Kingsley Coman on, Thomas Muller off on 61 minutes.
  • 62' Assisted by Michael Olise with the perfectly-timed delivery and Eric Dier makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 63' What a moment for Michael Olise! That strike on 63 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 68' Norway international Antonio Nusa has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Benjamin Sesko by Yussuf Poulsen on 69 minute.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Arthur Vermeeren. He replaces Amadou Haidara on 70 minute.
  • 74' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Eric Dier will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' Kevin Kampl was booked on 78.
  • 78' Ridle Baku is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Kampl at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' A goal from the Germany international Leroy Sane! He fires home on 83 to make it 2-3!
  • 86' Lutsharel Geertruida gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Kosta Nedeljkovic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Joao Palhinha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Serge Gnabry at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Arthur Vermeeren.
  • 3-3 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig29% Draw21% FC Bayern München50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
51%
Draw or FC Bayern München
71%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig22% Draw34% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
1 – 4
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 4
4%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 7% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 12% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 19% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 16% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
7%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.