Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Benjamin Sesko 11' 1–0
Lukas Klostermann 39' 2–0
2–1 62' Eric Dier
2–2 63' Michael Olise
2–3 83' Leroy Sane
Yussuf Poulsen 90+5' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC Bayern München H 3–3 D
26 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RB Leipzig A 3–3 D
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern München
#4 Position #1
18 Points 21
9 Played 9
6 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
27 Scored 29
13 Conceded 9
+14 GD +20
2.00 PPG 2.33
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' named a 3-5-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Eric Dier has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 11' Magnificent from Benjamin Sesko! That is 44 goals in 226 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 16' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 3-5-1-1 trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 39' The deadlock is broken! Lukas Klostermann gets on the scoresheet on 39 minutes.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 49' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Raum on 50 minutes.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 528 games and scored 759 goals.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Kingsley Coman comes on to replace Thomas Muller.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Eric Dier makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 63' Michael Olise does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 69' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Benjamin Sesko for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 70' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Amadou Haidara is replaced by Arthur Vermeeren on 70 minute.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Eric Dier.
  • 78' A moment of madness from Kevin Kampl on 78 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 78' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Kevin Kampl by Ridle Baku on 78 minute.
  • 83' What composure from Leroy Sane! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-3.
  • 86' Lutsharel Geertruida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kosta Nedeljkovic at the 86 minute mark.
  • 88' The whistle greets Serge Gnabry as he departs to be replaced by Joao Palhinha.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arthur Vermeeren on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.06 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.59 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig34% Draw22% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
56%
Draw or FC Bayern München
66%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig27% Draw35% FC Bayern München38%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 9% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 14% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 18% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 14% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.