RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
35 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | RB Leipzig | A | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 65 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 66 | Scored | 122 |
| 47 | Conceded | 36 |
| +19 | GD | +86 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 59% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Castello Lukeba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 11' GOAL! Benjamin Sesko scores on 11. Assisted by Xavi Simons
- 16' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 21' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Xavi Simons made 520 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' RB Leipzig currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 39' Lukas Klostermann has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
- 44' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 49' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. David Raum is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 50.
- 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
- 60' Amadou Haidara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 61' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Kingsley Coman on, Thomas Muller off on 61 minutes.
- 62' Assisted by Michael Olise with the perfectly-timed delivery and Eric Dier makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 63' What a moment for Michael Olise! That strike on 63 puts his side firmly in control.
- 68' Norway international Antonio Nusa has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 69' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Benjamin Sesko by Yussuf Poulsen on 69 minute.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Arthur Vermeeren. He replaces Amadou Haidara on 70 minute.
- 74' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Eric Dier will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' Kevin Kampl was booked on 78.
- 78' Ridle Baku is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Kampl at the 78 minute mark.
- 83' A goal from the Germany international Leroy Sane! He fires home on 83 to make it 2-3!
- 86' Lutsharel Geertruida gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Kosta Nedeljkovic and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' Joao Palhinha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Serge Gnabry at the 88 minute mark.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Arthur Vermeeren.
- 3-3 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Antonio Nusa 86'
- 16
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Ridle Baku 78'
- 22
- 8
- 26
- 10
- 13
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 69'
- 21
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 86'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 78'
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 69'
- 25
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 86'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 70'
- 27
- 45
Coach
Zsolt Low
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Joao Palhinha 88'
- 6
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Kingsley Coman 61'
- 27
- 17
-
23
Sacha Boey ↓ Leon Goretzka 61'
- 44
- 40
- 45
Bench
- 1
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↑ 61'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 61'
-
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 88'
- 18
- 24
- 41
- 46
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC Bayern München Form
2025-05-03
RB Leipzig
3–3
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-12
FC Bayern München
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-04-08
FC Bayern München
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
51%
Draw or FC Bayern München
71%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
1 – 4
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 4
4%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 7% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 12% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 19% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 16% | 22% |
| +2.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

