Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Benjamin Sesko 11' 1–0
Lukas Klostermann 39' 2–0
2–1 62' Eric Dier
2–2 63' Michael Olise
2–3 83' Leroy Sane
Yussuf Poulsen 90+5' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC Bayern München H 3–3 D
26 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RB Leipzig A 3–3 D
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern München
#9 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome FC Bayern München for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
  • 5' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 11' The Slovenia Benjamin Sesko breaks the deadlock on 11 minutes. 1-0!
  • 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 31' Aleksandar Pavlovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 39' Assisted by David Raum with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lukas Klostermann makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for David Raum.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Zsolt Low will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 61' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Thomas Muller is replaced by Kingsley Coman.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Eric Dier makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 63' Michael Olise doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 68' named a 3-5-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 69' Benjamin Sesko makes way for Yussuf Poulsen at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 70' Arthur Vermeeren has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amadou Haidara on 70 minute.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eric Dier on 74.
  • 78' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 78.
  • 78' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Kevin Kampl exits the field as Ridle Baku enters on 78.
  • 83' Brilliant from the ! Leroy Sane makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 83.
  • 86' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Kosta Nedeljkovic exits the field as Lutsharel Geertruida enters on 86.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Serge Gnabry as he leaves the pitch. Joao Palhinha steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Arthur Vermeeren.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.06 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig33% Draw30% FC Bayern München37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Bayern München
67%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig21% Draw50% FC Bayern München29%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
11.1%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.