RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
10 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | RB Leipzig | A | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 6 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 9 | Scored | 14 |
| 5 | Conceded | 2 |
| +4 | GD | +12 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' David Raum has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 29 cards already picked up this season.
- 11' Benjamin Sesko puts RB Leipzig on the lead.
- 16' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 21' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 26' Germany international Leon Goretzka has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' It looks surprising FC Bayern Munchen does not make any changes. Kevin Kampl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 36' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 39' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lukas Klostermann makes it 2-0.
- 44' Michael Olise is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
- 49' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern Munchen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for David Raum on 50.
- 55' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 3-5-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Thomas Muller by Kingsley Coman on 61 minute.
- 62' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Eric Dier makes it 2-1.
- 63' A goal from the France international Michael Olise! He fires home on 63 to make it 2-2!
- 68' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 69' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Yussuf Poulsen comes on to replace Benjamin Sesko.
- 70' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Amadou Haidara is withdrawn and Arthur Vermeeren gets his opportunity.
- 74' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Eric Dier will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' Kevin Kampl catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
- 78' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ridle Baku is hanging Kevin Kampl on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' The deadlock is broken! Leroy Sane gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
- 86' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Lutsharel Geertruida comes on to replace Kosta Nedeljkovic.
- 88' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Palhinha is hanging Serge Gnabry on the field on 88 minute.
- 90' Arthur Vermeeren was booked on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — RB Leipzig 3-3 FC Bayern Munchen.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Antonio Nusa 86'
- 16
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Ridle Baku 78'
- 22
- 8
- 26
- 10
- 13
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 69'
- 21
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 86'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 78'
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 69'
- 25
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 86'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 70'
- 27
- 45
Coach
Zsolt Low
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Joao Palhinha 88'
- 6
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Kingsley Coman 61'
- 27
- 17
-
23
Sacha Boey ↓ Leon Goretzka 61'
- 44
- 40
- 45
Bench
- 1
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↑ 61'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 61'
-
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 88'
- 18
- 24
- 41
- 46
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC Bayern München Form
2025-05-03
RB Leipzig
3–3
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-12
FC Bayern München
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-04-08
FC Bayern München
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.41
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
3.4%
0 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

