RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | RB Leipzig | A | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #7 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome FC Bayern München for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
- 5' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 11' The Slovenia Benjamin Sesko breaks the deadlock on 11 minutes. 1-0!
- 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 26' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 31' Aleksandar Pavlovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 39' Assisted by David Raum with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lukas Klostermann makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 44' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 49' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for David Raum.
- 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Zsolt Low will be considering his options from the bench.
- 61' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Thomas Muller is replaced by Kingsley Coman.
- 62' Brilliant from the ! Eric Dier makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 62.
- 63' Michael Olise doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 68' named a 3-5-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 69' Benjamin Sesko makes way for Yussuf Poulsen at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 70' Arthur Vermeeren has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amadou Haidara on 70 minute.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eric Dier on 74.
- 78' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 78.
- 78' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Kevin Kampl exits the field as Ridle Baku enters on 78.
- 83' Brilliant from the ! Leroy Sane makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 83.
- 86' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Kosta Nedeljkovic exits the field as Lutsharel Geertruida enters on 86.
- 88' The crowd applauds Serge Gnabry as he leaves the pitch. Joao Palhinha steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Arthur Vermeeren.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Antonio Nusa 86'
- 16
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Ridle Baku 78'
- 22
- 8
- 26
- 10
- 13
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 69'
- 21
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 86'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 78'
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 69'
- 25
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 86'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 70'
- 27
- 45
Coach
Zsolt Low
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Joao Palhinha 88'
- 6
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Kingsley Coman 61'
- 27
- 17
-
23
Sacha Boey ↓ Leon Goretzka 61'
- 44
- 40
- 45
Bench
- 1
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↑ 61'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 61'
-
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 88'
- 18
- 24
- 41
- 46
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC Bayern München Form
2025-05-03
RB Leipzig
3–3
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-12
FC Bayern München
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-04-08
FC Bayern München
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.06
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Bayern München
67%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
11.1%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

