RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 15.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | RB Leipzig | A | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #1 |
| 18 | Points | 21 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 0 |
| 27 | Scored | 29 |
| 13 | Conceded | 9 |
| +14 | GD | +20 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' named a 3-5-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Eric Dier has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 11' Magnificent from Benjamin Sesko! That is 44 goals in 226 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 16' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 36' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 3-5-1-1 trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 39' The deadlock is broken! Lukas Klostermann gets on the scoresheet on 39 minutes.
- 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 49' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 50' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Raum on 50 minutes.
- 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 528 games and scored 759 goals.
- 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Kingsley Coman comes on to replace Thomas Muller.
- 62' Brilliant from the ! Eric Dier makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 62.
- 63' Michael Olise does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 69' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Benjamin Sesko for the RB Leipzig side.
- 70' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Amadou Haidara is replaced by Arthur Vermeeren on 70 minute.
- 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Eric Dier.
- 78' A moment of madness from Kevin Kampl on 78 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
- 78' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Kevin Kampl by Ridle Baku on 78 minute.
- 83' What composure from Leroy Sane! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-3.
- 86' Lutsharel Geertruida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kosta Nedeljkovic at the 86 minute mark.
- 88' The whistle greets Serge Gnabry as he departs to be replaced by Joao Palhinha.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arthur Vermeeren on 90.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Antonio Nusa 86'
- 16
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Ridle Baku 78'
- 22
- 8
- 26
- 10
- 13
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 69'
- 21
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 86'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 78'
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 69'
- 25
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 86'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 70'
- 27
- 45
Coach
Zsolt Low
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Joao Palhinha 88'
- 6
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Kingsley Coman 61'
- 27
- 17
-
23
Sacha Boey ↓ Leon Goretzka 61'
- 44
- 40
- 45
Bench
- 1
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↑ 61'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 61'
-
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 88'
- 18
- 24
- 41
- 46
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Harry Kane | 4 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC Bayern München Form
2025-05-03
RB Leipzig
3–3
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-12
FC Bayern München
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-04-08
FC Bayern München
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.06
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.59
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
56%
Draw or FC Bayern München
66%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 9% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 14% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 18% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 14% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

