Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 17:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 59,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Atakan Karazor 8' 1–0
Nick Woltemade 51' 2–0
Enzo Millot 80' 3–0
Ermedin Demirovic 87' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs FC AugsburgBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May FC Augsburg H 4–0 W
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
19 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–4 D
13 Apr SV Werder Bremen H 1–2 L
05 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
04 May Holstein Kiel H 1–3 L
26 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
20 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
12 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–3 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart FC Augsburg
#4 Position #9
62 Points 43
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 15
71 Scored 45
49 Conceded 61
+22 GD -16
1.82 PPG 1.26
53% Win % 35%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). FC Augsburg are 9th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Augsburg
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 FC Augsburg xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart71% Draw18% FC Augsburg11%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
89%
Draw or FC Augsburg
29%
VfB Stuttgart or FC Augsburg
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart53% Draw37% FC Augsburg10%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.9%
3 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.3%
4 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
5 – 0
2.9%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push FC Augsburg covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 21% 48%
-1.5 52% 48%
-1 52% 22% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
47%
FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.