Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 23,070 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Lois Openda
0–2 26' Xavi Simons
0–3 49' Xavi Simons
Kilian Fischer 58' 1–3
Andreas Skov Olsen 75' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
01 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg RB Leipzig
#16 Position #3
29 Points 65
34 Played 34
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
45 Scored 66
69 Conceded 47
-24 GD +19
0.85 PPG 1.91
21% Win % 59%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Volkswagen Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 11' What a strike from Lois Openda! The score is 0-1.
  • 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' VfL Wolfsburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 26' Goal! Xavi Simons scores his 45 goal in 520 matches.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yannick Gerhardt suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yannick Gerhardt on 34 minutes.
  • 36' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. El Chadaille Bitshiabu gets a card.
  • 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
  • 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 49' The Netherlands Xavi Simons breaks the deadlock on 49 minutes. 0-3!
  • 54' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kilian Fischer makes it 1-3.
  • 60' Poor challenge from Kilian Fischer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' RB Leipzig has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 71' The whistle greets Jakub Kaminski as he departs to be replaced by Andreas Skov Olsen.
  • 75' Goal! Andreas Skov Olsen scores his 46 goal in 6 matches.
  • 76' Lois Openda is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 77' Yussuf Poulsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lois Openda at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' Arthur Vermeeren, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 85' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Xavi Simons is replaced by Amadou Haidara on 85 minute.
  • 86' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Lukas Nmecha comes on to replace Patrick Wimmer.
  • 2-3 the final result. VfL Wolfsburg will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg29% Draw25% RB Leipzig46%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
71%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg22% Draw40% RB Leipzig38%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 20% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
14%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.