Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 23,070 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Lois Openda
0–2 26' Xavi Simons
0–3 49' Xavi Simons
Kilian Fischer 58' 1–3
Andreas Skov Olsen 75' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
9 games this season 🟨 5.1/game ⚽ 17.0 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
01 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Volkswagen Arena that hosts another battle between VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Denis Vavro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ralph Hasenhuttl will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 11' Lois Openda makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 16' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arthur Vermeeren is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 26' Brilliant from the ! Xavi Simons makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 26.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' It’s gonna be a card for Yannick Gerhardt.
  • 36' El Chadaille Bitshiabu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 49' Against the run of play, Xavi Simons has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 58' Against the run of play, Kilian Fischer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Kilian Fischer.
  • 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Andreas Skov Olsen comes on to replace Jakub Kaminski.
  • 75' Andreas Skov Olsen adds to his 0 season tally! VfL Wolfsburg lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 76' The referee calls foul for Lois Openda. He receives a card.
  • 77' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Yussuf Poulsen on, Lois Openda off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 85' RB Leipzig make a change. Xavi Simons trudges off to be replaced by Amadou Haidara on 85 minutes.
  • 86' Lukas Nmecha gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Patrick Wimmer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for RB Leipzig players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg36% Draw28% RB Leipzig36%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
64%
Draw or RB Leipzig
64%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg28% Draw46% RB Leipzig26%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.