VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
17 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | RB Leipzig | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | FC Augsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 29 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 45 | Scored | 66 |
| 69 | Conceded | 47 |
| -24 | GD | +19 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 21% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Volkswagen Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig.
- 5' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 11' What a strike from Lois Openda! The score is 0-1.
- 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 21' VfL Wolfsburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 26' Goal! Xavi Simons scores his 45 goal in 520 matches.
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yannick Gerhardt suffering a number of foals already.
- 34' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yannick Gerhardt on 34 minutes.
- 36' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. El Chadaille Bitshiabu gets a card.
- 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
- 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 49' The Netherlands Xavi Simons breaks the deadlock on 49 minutes. 0-3!
- 54' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
- 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kilian Fischer makes it 1-3.
- 60' Poor challenge from Kilian Fischer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 70' RB Leipzig has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 71' The whistle greets Jakub Kaminski as he departs to be replaced by Andreas Skov Olsen.
- 75' Goal! Andreas Skov Olsen scores his 46 goal in 6 matches.
- 76' Lois Openda is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
- 77' Yussuf Poulsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lois Openda at the 77 minute mark.
- 82' Arthur Vermeeren, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 85' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Xavi Simons is replaced by Amadou Haidara on 85 minute.
- 86' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Lukas Nmecha comes on to replace Patrick Wimmer.
- 2-3 the final result. VfL Wolfsburg will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1
- 27
- 31
-
18
Denis Vavro ↓ Joakim Maehle 71'
- 23
- 16
-
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Lukas Nmecha 86'
- 2
- 33
- 9
-
24
Bence Dardai ↓ Tiago Tomas 86'
Bench
-
10
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 86'
- 29
-
21
Joakim Maehle ↑ 71'
- 5
-
7
Andreas Skov Olsen ↑ 71'
- 6
- 40
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 86'
- 4
Coach
Ralph Hasenhuttl
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 77'
- 17
- 1
- 16
-
10
Xavi Simons ↓ Amadou Haidara 85'
- 13
- 23
- 5
- 30
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Kevin Kampl 71'
- 21
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 77'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 71'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 77'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 71'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 85'
- 26
- 27
- 48
- 45
Coach
Zsolt Low
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 4 |
| Wout Weghorst | 3 |
| Willi Orban | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 2 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Josko Gvardiol | 2 |
| Mohammed Amoura | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
71%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

