Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
VfL Wolfsburg
2 – 3
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 23,070 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Lois Openda
0–2 26' Xavi Simons
0–3 49' Xavi Simons
Kilian Fischer 58' 1–3
Andreas Skov Olsen 75' 2–3
Yannick Gerhardt 34' Y
Y 36' El Chadaille Bitshiabu
Y 36' Xavi Simons
Kilian Fischer 60' Y
Y 76' Lois Openda

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

9
5
11
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 2.6 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-11 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 RB Leipzig 2025-02-26 RB Leipzig 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-11-30 RB Leipzig 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-04-13 RB Leipzig 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
01 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. VfL Wolfsburg is hosting RB Leipzig for another epic battle.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Bence Dardai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 11' Magnificent from Lois Openda! That is 105 goals in 355 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lukas Klostermann suffering a number of foals already.
  • 21' A quiet spell here at Volkswagen Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 26' Magnificent from Xavi Simons! That is 45 goals in 522 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yannick Gerhardt.
  • 36' Controversy at the stadium! El Chadaille Bitshiabu argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 41' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 46' VfL Wolfsburg are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
  • 49' What composure from Xavi Simons! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 54' It is a cagey affair so far. VfL Wolfsburg in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact 4-2-2-2.
  • 58' Brilliant from the ! Kilian Fischer makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 60' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 70' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 71' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Jakub Kaminski is replaced by Andreas Skov Olsen on 71 minute.
  • 75' What composure from Andreas Skov Olsen! The Denmark international strokes it home. 2-3.
  • 76' Poor challenge from Lois Openda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 77' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Lois Openda for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 475 games and scored 488 goals.
  • 85' The whistle greets Xavi Simons as he departs to be replaced by Amadou Haidara.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Patrick Wimmer as he leaves the pitch. Lukas Nmecha steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Zsolt Low

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 4
Willi Orban 3
Wout Weghorst 3
Benjamin Sesko 2
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Maximilian Philipp 2
Josko Gvardiol 2
Mohammed Amoura 2

Head to Head

2025-04-11 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 RB Leipzig 2025-02-26 RB Leipzig 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-11-30 RB Leipzig 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-04-13 RB Leipzig 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2025-04-11 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 RB Leipzig L 2025-04-06 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-03-29 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 L 2025-03-15 FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-03-08 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-03-01 SV Werder Bremen 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W

RB Leipzig Form

2025-04-11 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 RB Leipzig W 2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-04-02 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-03-29 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-03-08 SC Freiburg 0–0 RB Leipzig D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg36% Draw28% RB Leipzig36%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
64%
Draw or RB Leipzig
64%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg28% Draw46% RB Leipzig26%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.