RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Bundesliga · 2024-25

RB Leipzig

3 – 1

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 44,478 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Tom Bischof

Benjamin Sesko 24' 1–1

Ridle Baku 43' 2–1

Yussuf Poulsen 84' 3–1

Y 4' Bazoumana Toure

R 28' Leo Ostigard

Y 72' Arthur Chaves

Y 90' Gift Orban

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Robert Hartmann
Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig 2024-05-03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-04-29 RB Leipzig 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–1	W
02 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–3	L
29 Mar	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	0–1	L
15 Mar	Borussia Dortmund	H	2–0	W
08 Mar	SC Freiburg	A	0–0	D
01 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L
29 Mar	FC Augsburg	H	1–1	D
14 Mar	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	0–1	L
09 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–1	D
01 Mar	VfL Bochum 1848	A	1–0	W
23 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#3	Position	#5
65	Points	61
34	Played	34
20 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	18 / 7 / 9
66	Scored	65
47	Conceded	52
+19	GD	+13
1.91	PPG	1.79
59%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim get this one started.
4' That is a card for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Bazoumana Toure will be fuming at that decision.
9' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
11' A stunning finish from Tom Bischof — that came from absolutely nowhere!
16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
21' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
24' The Slovenia Benjamin Sesko breaks the deadlock on 24 minutes. 1-1!
28' It’s gonna be a card for Leo Ostigard.
33' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
38' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
43' What a strike from Ridle Baku! The score is 2-1.
46' The supporters are chanting for Tidiam Gomis. He replaces Ridle Baku on 46 minute.
51' Nicolas Seiwald needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gift Orban, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
66' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
71' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is showing some good football. However, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
72' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Arthur Chaves gets a card.
73' The crowd applauds Kosta Nedeljkovic as he leaves the pitch. Lukas Klostermann steps in for RB Leipzig.
76' The supporters are chanting for Gift Orban. He replaces Haris Tabakovic on 76 minute.
81' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Lois Openda is replaced by Yussuf Poulsen on 81 minute.
82' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Arthur Chaves has done his job and it is now time for David Jurasek to step up.
84' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yussuf Poulsen makes it 3-1.
89' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Andrej Kramaric is replaced by Umut Tohumcu on 89 minute.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Gift Orban is booked for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — card on 90.
With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 81'
17
Ridle Baku ↓ Tidiam Gomis 46'
1
Peter Gulacsi
4
Willi Orban
22
David Raum
10
Xavi Simons
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↓ Amadou Haidara 73'
23
Castello Lukeba
30
Benjamin Sesko
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Christoph Baumgartner 46'
21
Kosta Nedeljkovic ↓ Lukas Klostermann 73'

Bench

Coach Zsolt Low

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

25
Kevin Akpoguma ↑ 46'
3
Pavel Kaderabek
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 82'
20
Finn Ole Becker
37
Luca Philipp
17
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 89'
14
Gift Orban ↑ 76'
19
David Jurasek ↑ 82'

Coach Christian Ilzer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Christopher Nkunku	5
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Benjamin Sesko	2
Adam Hlozek	2
Yussuf Poulsen	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-04-02 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-03-29 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-03-08 SC Freiburg 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2025-03-29 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Augsburg D 2025-03-14 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2025-03-09 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-03-01 VfL Bochum 1848 0–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-02-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfB Stuttgart D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.12 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig55% Draw23% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim22%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

78%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

45%

RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig40% Draw40% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

7.2%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

0 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	21%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.