Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 44,478 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Tom Bischof
Benjamin Sesko 24' 1–1
Ridle Baku 43' 2–1
Yussuf Poulsen 84' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 25.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
01 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
23 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 1–1 D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#4 Position #9
18 Points 12
9 Played 9
6 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 5
27 Scored 16
13 Conceded 17
+14 GD -1
2.00 PPG 1.33
67% Win % 44%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Bambase Conte 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G 1 A
Tim Lemperle 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has kicked off!
  • 4' It’s gonna be a card for Bazoumana Toure.
  • 9' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 11' Tom Bischof is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 24' Benjamin Sesko does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 28' Controversy at the stadium! Leo Ostigard argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 33' Stanley N'Soki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 422 appearances.
  • 38' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' Magnificent from Ridle Baku! That is 29 goals in 447 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Ridle Baku is withdrawn and Tidiam Gomis gets his opportunity.
  • 51' David Jurasek needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 61' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 71' Willi Orban has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 72' Arthur Chaves picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' Kosta Nedeljkovic makes way for Lukas Klostermann at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 76' Haris Tabakovic makes way for Gift Orban at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 81' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Yussuf Poulsen on, Lois Openda off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Arthur Chaves as he leaves the pitch. David Jurasek steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 84' Yussuf Poulsen doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 89' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Umut Tohumcu is hanging Andrej Kramaric on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gift Orban on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.94 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig66% Draw18% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim16%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
84%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
34%
RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig53% Draw33% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim14%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6.4%
1 – 1
6.4%
4 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
4 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 32% — 68%
-2 32% 19% 49%
-1.5 51% — 49%
-1 51% 19% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.