Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 44,478 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Tom Bischof
Benjamin Sesko 24' 1–1
Ridle Baku 43' 2–1
Yussuf Poulsen 84' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
01 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
23 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 1–1 D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#9 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.06 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig49% Draw33% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim18%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
82%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
51%
RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig29% Draw60% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim11%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.8%
1 – 0
20.1%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 0
1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 27% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 13% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
59%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.