RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
- Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
5 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 25.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #9 |
| 18 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 16 |
| 13 | Conceded | 17 |
| +14 | GD | -1 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 67% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
11%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Bambase Conte | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tim Lemperle | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has kicked off!
- 4' It’s gonna be a card for Bazoumana Toure.
- 9' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 11' Tom Bischof is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 24' Benjamin Sesko does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
- 28' Controversy at the stadium! Leo Ostigard argues furiously but the card stands.
- 33' Stanley N'Soki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 422 appearances.
- 38' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 43' Magnificent from Ridle Baku! That is 29 goals in 447 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Ridle Baku is withdrawn and Tidiam Gomis gets his opportunity.
- 51' David Jurasek needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 61' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 71' Willi Orban has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 72' Arthur Chaves picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 73' Kosta Nedeljkovic makes way for Lukas Klostermann at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 76' Haris Tabakovic makes way for Gift Orban at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 81' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Yussuf Poulsen on, Lois Openda off on 81 minutes.
- 82' The crowd applauds Arthur Chaves as he leaves the pitch. David Jurasek steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 84' Yussuf Poulsen doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 89' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Umut Tohumcu is hanging Andrej Kramaric on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gift Orban on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 3-1.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 81'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↓ Tidiam Gomis 46'
- 1
- 4
- 22
- 10
- 13
- 23
- 30
- 18
- 21
Bench
- 3
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 46'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 81'
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 73'
- 44
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 73'
- 26
- 5
-
27
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 46'
Coach
Zsolt Low
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Umut Tohumcu 89'
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ Kevin Akpoguma 46'
- 4
-
26
Haris Tabakovic ↓ Gift Orban 76'
- 15
- 16
-
35
Arthur Chaves ↓ David Jurasek 82'
- 7
- 34
-
29
Bazoumana Toure ↓ Adam Hlozek 82'
Bench
-
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↑ 46'
- 3
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 82'
- 20
- 37
-
17
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 89'
-
14
Gift Orban ↑ 76'
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 82'
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 8 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Dani Olmo | 4 |
| Andrej Kramaric | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 2 |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2025-04-05
RB Leipzig
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-03-29
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
FC Augsburg
D
2025-03-14
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-03-09
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
D
2025-03-01
VfL Bochum 1848
0–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-02-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
VfB Stuttgart
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.94
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
84%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
34%
RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6.4%
1 – 1
6.4%
4 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
4 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 19% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 19% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

