RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

RB Leipzig

3 – 1

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 44,478 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Tom Bischof

Benjamin Sesko 24' 1–1

Ridle Baku 43' 2–1

Yussuf Poulsen 84' 3–1

Y 4' Bazoumana Toure

R 28' Leo Ostigard

Y 72' Arthur Chaves

Y 90' Gift Orban

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Hartmann
Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 30.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig 2024-05-03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-04-29 RB Leipzig 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–1	W
02 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–3	L
29 Mar	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	0–1	L
15 Mar	Borussia Dortmund	H	2–0	W
08 Mar	SC Freiburg	A	0–0	D
01 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L
29 Mar	FC Augsburg	H	1–1	D
14 Mar	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	0–1	L
09 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–1	D
01 Mar	VfL Bochum 1848	A	1–0	W
23 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#9	Position	#14
6	Points	3
4	Played	4
2 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 3
9	Scored	7
5	Conceded	10
+4	GD	-3
1.50	PPG	0.75
50%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/4

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig

Antonio Nusa	2 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G
Rocco Reitz	1 G

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G
Tim Lemperle	1 G
Leon Avdullahu	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as RB Leipzig face off against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
4' Bazoumana Toure was booked on 4.
9' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSG 1899 Hoffenheim that had 410 games and scored 538 goals.
11' Assisted by Bazoumana Toure with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tom Bischof makes no mistake. 0-1!
16' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
21' Marius Bulter needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
24' What an equalizer from Benjamin Sesko!
28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Leo Ostigard.
33' Arthur Vermeeren has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 308 appearances.
38' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
43' Ridle Baku makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
46' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Ridle Baku is withdrawn and Tidiam Gomis gets his opportunity.
51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
56' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
71' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is showing some good football. However, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
72' Arthur Chaves is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
73' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 73 minute. Kosta Nedeljkovic leaves to be changed by Lukas Klostermann.
76' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim bench stirs into life. Haris Tabakovic is withdrawn and Gift Orban gets his opportunity.
81' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Lois Openda is replaced by Yussuf Poulsen on 81 minute.
82' Arthur Chaves makes way for David Jurasek at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
84' Against the run of play, Yussuf Poulsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
89' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Andrej Kramaric is replaced by Umut Tohumcu on 89 minute.
90' A moment of madness from Gift Orban on 90 minutes earns him a card. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be frustrated.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for RB Leipzig players.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 81'
17
Ridle Baku ↓ Tidiam Gomis 46'
1
Peter Gulacsi
4
Willi Orban
22
David Raum
10
Xavi Simons
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↓ Amadou Haidara 73'
23
Castello Lukeba
30
Benjamin Sesko
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Christoph Baumgartner 46'
21
Kosta Nedeljkovic ↓ Lukas Klostermann 73'

Bench

Coach Zsolt Low

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

25
Kevin Akpoguma ↑ 46'
3
Pavel Kaderabek
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 82'
20
Finn Ole Becker
37
Luca Philipp
17
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 89'
14
Gift Orban ↑ 76'
19
David Jurasek ↑ 82'

Coach Christian Ilzer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Christopher Nkunku	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Kasper Dolberg	2
Willi Orban	2
Emil Forsberg	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-04-02 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-03-29 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-03-08 SC Freiburg 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2025-03-29 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Augsburg D 2025-03-14 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2025-03-09 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-03-01 VfL Bochum 1848 0–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-02-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfB Stuttgart D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.76 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + RB Leipzig to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig66% Draw19% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim15%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

85%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

34%

RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig53% Draw34% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim13%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.6%

2 – 0

8.3%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

7.4%

1 – 1

7.2%

1 – 0

5.7%

4 – 1

5.4%

4 – 0

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 2

4.3%

1 – 2

3.4%

0 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	31%	—	69%
-2	31%	20%	49%
-1.5	51%	—	49%
-1	51%	20%	29%
-0.5	71%	—	29%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	8%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.