Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 14 Mar 2025 · 19:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Noah Weisshaupt 51' 1–0
Y 55' Anton Stach

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Frederick Assmuth
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Head-to-Head

4
1
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 5.2 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
08 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
01 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
15 Feb SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
09 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
01 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
23 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 1–1 D
16 Feb SV Werder Bremen A 3–1 W
08 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–4 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' It’s high time Alexander Blessin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jackson Irvine is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 35' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gift Orban made 303 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 51' A stunning finish from Noah Weisshaupt — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' Anton Stach has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
  • 57' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Gift Orban is replaced by Haris Tabakovic on 57 minute.
  • 62' The 36-year-old Oliver Baumann has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 67' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 71' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Valentin Gendrey comes on to replace Pavel Kaderabek.
  • 73' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Johannes Eggestein on, Elias Saad off on 73 minutes.
  • 78' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 85' Erencan Yardimci is replacing David Jurasek for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
  • 86' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Danel Sinani has done his job and it is now time for Carlo Boukhalfa to step up.
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will have plenty to reflect on. FC St. Pauli 1910 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191044% Draw31% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
75%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
56%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191027% Draw55% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.