FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Brych
- Assistant 1 Frederick Assmuth
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 65 |
| 60 | Conceded | 52 |
| -31 | GD | +13 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 18% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC St. Pauli 1910 welcome TSG 1899 Hoffenheim for this crunch clash at Millerntor-Stadion.
- 5' Erencan Yardimci has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked 13 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact 4-1-3-2.
- 35' Danel Sinani is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC St. Pauli 1910 tonight.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' Manolis Saliakas, a Greece , has 12 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 51' Goal! Noah Weisshaupt scores his 3 goal in 493 matches.
- 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Anton Stach.
- 57' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Haris Tabakovic is hanging Gift Orban on the field on 57 minute.
- 62' Bazoumana Toure is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
- 67' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 71' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Pavel Kaderabek exits the field as Valentin Gendrey enters on 71.
- 73' Johannes Eggestein is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elias Saad at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 83' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 85' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Erencan Yardimci on, David Jurasek off on 85 minutes.
- 86' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Danel Sinani has done his job and it is now time for Carlo Boukhalfa to step up.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC St. Pauli 1910 take all three points.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 5
- 7
-
10
Danel Sinani ↓ Carlo Boukhalfa 86'
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 4
- 13
- 2
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Johannes Eggestein 73'
- 23
Bench
-
11
Johannes Eggestein ↑ 73'
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 73'
- 25
- 24
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 73'
- 1
- 18
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↑ 86'
- 9
Coach
Alexander Blessin
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 3
- 27
- 4
- 20
- 16
- 7
-
17
Umut Tohumcu ↓ Marius Bulter 57'
-
14
Gift Orban ↓ Haris Tabakovic 57'
- 19
Bench
- 8
-
21
Marius Bulter ↑ 57'
-
26
Haris Tabakovic ↑ 57'
-
15
Valentin Gendrey ↑ 71'
-
53
Erencan Yardimci ↑ 85'
- 37
- 34
-
29
Bazoumana Toure ↑ 71'
- 2
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andreas Albers | 1 |
| Noah Weisshaupt | 1 |
| Oladapo Afolayan | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-03-14
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-03-08
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2025-03-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-02-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-15
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2025-02-09
RB Leipzig
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2025-03-14
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-03-09
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
D
2025-03-01
VfL Bochum 1848
0–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-02-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
VfB Stuttgart
D
2025-02-16
SV Werder Bremen
1–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-02-08
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–4
1. FC Union Berlin
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
62%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
66%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
12.6%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

