Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 14 Mar 2025 · 19:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Noah Weisshaupt 51' 1–0
Y 55' Anton Stach

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Frederick Assmuth
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Head-to-Head

4
1
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 5.2 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
08 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
01 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
15 Feb SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
09 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
01 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
23 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 1–1 D
16 Feb SV Werder Bremen A 3–1 W
08 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–4 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#18 Position #5
26 Points 61
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
29 Scored 65
60 Conceded 52
-31 GD +13
0.76 PPG 1.79
18% Win % 53%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! FC St. Pauli 1910 welcome TSG 1899 Hoffenheim for this crunch clash at Millerntor-Stadion.
  • 5' Erencan Yardimci has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked 13 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact 4-1-3-2.
  • 35' Danel Sinani is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC St. Pauli 1910 tonight.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Manolis Saliakas, a Greece , has 12 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 51' Goal! Noah Weisshaupt scores his 3 goal in 493 matches.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Anton Stach.
  • 57' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Haris Tabakovic is hanging Gift Orban on the field on 57 minute.
  • 62' Bazoumana Toure is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
  • 67' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 71' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Pavel Kaderabek exits the field as Valentin Gendrey enters on 71.
  • 73' Johannes Eggestein is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elias Saad at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 83' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 85' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 HoffenheimErencan Yardimci on, David Jurasek off on 85 minutes.
  • 86' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Danel Sinani has done his job and it is now time for Carlo Boukhalfa to step up.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC St. Pauli 1910 take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191034% Draw29% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim37%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
62%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
66%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191019% Draw51% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
12.6%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
28%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.