Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sat 22 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FCLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez
  • Referee Jose Naranjo
  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Referee Alexandre Aleman
  • Referee Diego Sanchez
  • Referee Jaime Latre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Sevilla FC H 3–1 W
19 Oct Elche CF A 3–0 W
16 Oct FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
11 Oct FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 1–1 D
08 Oct Getafe CF A 1–0 W
05 Oct FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Real Madrid CF A 1–3 L
18 Oct Valencia CF H 1–1 D
15 Oct RCD Mallorca A 1–0 W
11 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
08 Oct Athletic Club H 1–1 D
05 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Sevilla FC
#2 Position #15
86 Points 43
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 19
77 Scored 46
35 Conceded 60
+42 GD -14
2.26 PPG 1.13
71% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Sevilla FC are 15th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, Sevilla FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' GOAL! Luka Modric fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 6' Brilliant from the ! Luka Modric makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 6.
  • 11' Sevilla FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 16' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sevilla FC's shape.
  • 28' A moment of madness from Jordan on 28 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sevilla FC will be frustrated.
  • 31' Gonzalo Montiel catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 31.
  • 36' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 37' That is a Yellow card for Real Madrid CF. Aurelien Tchouameni will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 54' What composure from Erik Lamela! The Argentina international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 59' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 64' Federico Valverde has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 27 cards already picked up this season.
  • 65' Real Madrid CF make a change. Aurelien Tchouameni trudges off to be replaced by Eduardo Camavinga on 65 minutes.
  • 66' Poor challenge from Nemanja Gudelj. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 67' Sevilla FC ring the changes. Jesus Navas has done his job and it is now time for Jose Angel Carmona to step up.
  • 69' Sevilla FC ring the changes. Oliver Torres has done his job and it is now time for Alejandro Gomez to step up.
  • 74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 76' A change in the Sevilla FC ranks — Ivan Rakitic exits the field as Rafael Mir enters on 76.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Ferland Mendy is replaced by Antonio Rudiger.
  • 79' The Spain Lucas Vazquez breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 3-1!
  • 81' Federico Valverde has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Nacho is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Alaba at the 86 minute mark.
  • 90' Sevilla FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Real Madrid CF take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.5 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Sevilla FC xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF69% Draw19% Sevilla FC12%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
87%
Draw or Sevilla FC
31%
Real Madrid CF or Sevilla FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF51% Draw37% Sevilla FC12%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.8%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Sevilla FC covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 20% 52%
-1.5 48% 52%
-1 48% 21% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
39%
Sevilla FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.