Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Tue 11 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Stadion NSK Olimpiyskiy, Kyiv HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Stadion NSK Olimpiyskiy, Kyiv.

Match Details

  • Referee David Fuxman
  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Referee Roy Hassan
  • Referee Idan Yarkoni
  • Referee Orel Grinfeld
  • Referee Eitan Shmulevitz (Israel)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D
05 Oct Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
14 Sep Celtic FC H 1–1 D
06 Sep RB Leipzig A 4–1 W
07 Dec FC Sheriff Tiraspol H 1–1 D
24 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 1–1 D
08 Oct Getafe CF A 1–0 W
05 Oct FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 2–1 W
02 Oct CA Osasuna H 1–1 D
18 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 2–1 W
14 Sep RB Leipzig H 2–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FK Shakhtar Donetsk gets underway.
  • 5' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Heorhii Sudakov suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 16' FK Shakhtar Donetsk receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 16.
  • 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
  • 26' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 36' Lucas Vazquez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Shakhtar Donetsk needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' What a strike from Oleksandr Zubkov! The score is 1-0.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nacho made 545 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' It looks surprising FK Shakhtar Donetsk does not make any changes. Vinicius Junior has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 57' The whistle greets Eden Hazard as he departs to be replaced by Vinicius Junior.
  • 62' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 68' The whistle greets Ferland Mendy as he departs to be replaced by David Alaba.
  • 73' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 76' Another change for FK Shakhtar Donetsk made on 76 minute. Lassina Franck Traore leaves to be changed by Danylo Sikan.
  • 81' Neven Djurasek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Heorhii Sudakov on 81 minute.
  • 82' Time for substitution for FK Shakhtar Donetsk. Oleksandr Zubkov is replaced by Lucas Taylor Maia.
  • 85' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Eder Militao gets a Yellow card.
  • 85' The whistle greets Mykhailo Mudryk as he departs to be replaced by Ivan Petryak.
  • 88' FK Shakhtar Donetsk receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 88.
  • 90' Real Madrid CF player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.11 FK Shakhtar Donetsk xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: FK Shakhtar Donetsk or Real Madrid CF 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Shakhtar Donetsk31% Draw30% Real Madrid CF39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FK Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
69%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Shakhtar Donetsk22% Draw50% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Shakhtar Donetsk

Handicap FK Shakhtar Donetsk covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

FK Shakhtar Donetsk keeps clean sheet
28%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.