Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Holstein Kiel

1 – 2

Full Time

FC St. Pauli 1910

Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alexander Bernhardsson 21' 1–0

1–1 34' Danel Sinani

1–2 90+2' Max Geschwill og

Y 37' David Nemeth

Y 46' Oladapo Afolayan

Marko Ivezic 60' Y

Phil Harres 77' Y

Y 82' Hauke Finn Wahl

Marvin Schulz 86' Y

Y 90' Morgan Guilavogui

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand
Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 24.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel 5 games · Avg 4.8 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-02-23 Holstein Kiel 3–4 FC St. Pauli 1910 2023-09-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 5–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Apr	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	1–2	L
05 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–1	D
29 Mar	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–3	L
16 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	1–3	L
08 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–2	D
02 Mar	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–0	W

FC St. Pauli 1910

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Apr	Holstein Kiel	A	2–1	W
06 Apr	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	1–1	D
29 Mar	FC Bayern München	A	2–3	L
14 Mar	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–0	W
08 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
01 Mar	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel are looking to make home advantage count against FC St. Pauli 1910.
5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
10' Holstein Kiel are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC St. Pauli 1910 backline.
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' Holstein Kiel currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
21' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alexander Bernhardsson makes it 1-0.
26' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oladapo Afolayan suffering a number of foals already.
34' Danel Sinani doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Nemeth on 37 minutes.
42' Connor Metcalfe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
46' FC St. Pauli 1910 receives a card for a hard tackle on 46.
46' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Timo Becker has done his job and it is now time for Finn Porath to step up.
51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
60' Marko Ivezic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 60.
60' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Noah Weisshaupt comes on to replace Oladapo Afolayan.
64' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Adam Dzwigala trudges off to be replaced by Siebe Van der Heyden on 64 minutes.
68' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Marco Komenda departs to be replaced by Max Geschwill.
73' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
75' Holstein Kiel make a change. Magnus Knudsen trudges off to be replaced by Marvin Schulz on 75 minutes.
77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Phil Harres on 77.
82' Poor challenge from Hauke Finn Wahl. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
83' Steven Skrzybski has so much to prove this time. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 83 minute.
86' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Marvin Schulz gets a card.
87' Danel Sinani makes way for Connor Metcalfe at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC St. Pauli 1910.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Morgan Guilavogui on 90 minutes.
With this win, FC St. Pauli 1910 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

5
Hauke Finn Wahl
7
Jackson Irvine
25
Adam Dzwigala ↓ Siebe Van der Heyden 64'
10
Danel Sinani ↓ Connor Metcalfe 87'
8
Eric Smith
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Noah Weisshaupt 60'
22
Nikola Vasilj
4
David Nemeth
2
Manolis Saliakas
26
Elias Saad ↓ Morgan Guilavogui 46'
23
Philipp Treu

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Oladapo Afolayan	3
Alexander Bernhardsson	2
Phil Harres	2
Marcel Hartel	2
Connor Metcalfe	2
Johannes Eggestein	1
Shuto Machino	1
Morgan Guilavogui	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.36 Holstein Kiel xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.88 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel28% Draw25% FC St. Pauli 191047%

Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw

53%

Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910

72%

Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel22% Draw42% FC St. Pauli 191036%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

6.9%

0 – 1

6.7%

2 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 3

5.7%

0 – 0

5.5%

1 – 0

4.6%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

3.9%

2 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap	Holstein Kiel covers	Push	FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	21%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	15%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Holstein Kiel Form

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Clean Sheet