Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
1 – 2
Full Time
FC St. Pauli 1910
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alexander Bernhardsson 21' 1–0
1–1 34' Danel Sinani
1–2 90+2' Max Geschwill og
Y 37' David Nemeth
Y 46' Oladapo Afolayan
Marko Ivezic 60' Y
Phil Harres 77' Y
Y 82' Hauke Finn Wahl
Marvin Schulz 86' Y
Y 90' Morgan Guilavogui

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
4
Holstein Kiel 5 games · Avg 4.8 goals FC St. Pauli 1910
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-02-23 Holstein Kiel 3–4 FC St. Pauli 1910 2023-09-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 5–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
06 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
29 Mar FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
08 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
01 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' Alexander Bernhardsson does the damage! The net is bulging and Holstein Kiel surge ahead!
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 34' What an equalizer from Danel Sinani!
  • 37' Poor challenge from David Nemeth. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' It’s gonna be a card for Oladapo Afolayan.
  • 46' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Timo Becker departs to be replaced by Finn Porath.
  • 51' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 60' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Marko Ivezic will be fuming at that decision.
  • 60' Oladapo Afolayan makes way for Noah Weisshaupt at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 64' A change in the FC St. Pauli 1910 ranks — Adam Dzwigala exits the field as Siebe Van der Heyden enters on 64.
  • 68' Max Geschwill gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Marco Komenda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 75' Magnus Knudsen makes way for Marvin Schulz at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
  • 77' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
  • 82' Hauke Finn Wahl catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Armin Gigovic as he leaves the pitch. Steven Skrzybski steps in for Holstein Kiel.
  • 86' A moment of madness from Marvin Schulz on 86 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
  • 87' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Connor Metcalfe on, Danel Sinani off on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Morgan Guilavogui is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC St. Pauli 1910 to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Oladapo Afolayan 3
Phil Harres 2
Marcel Hartel 2
Connor Metcalfe 2
Alexander Bernhardsson 2
Danel Sinani 1
Taichi Hara 1
Lars Ritzka 1

Head to Head

2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-02-23 Holstein Kiel 3–4 FC St. Pauli 1910 2023-09-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 5–1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-29 Holstein Kiel 0–3 SV Werder Bremen L 2025-03-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2025-03-08 Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2025-03-02 1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 Holstein Kiel W

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-04-06 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach D 2025-03-29 FC Bayern München 3–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-03-14 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-03-08 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-03-01 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel28% Draw25% FC St. Pauli 191047%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
53%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
72%
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel22% Draw42% FC St. Pauli 191036%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.