Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Holstein Kiel

1 – 2

Full Time

FC St. Pauli 1910

Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alexander Bernhardsson 21' 1–0

1–1 34' Danel Sinani

1–2 90+2' Max Geschwill og

Y 37' David Nemeth

Y 46' Oladapo Afolayan

Marko Ivezic 60' Y

Phil Harres 77' Y

Y 82' Hauke Finn Wahl

Marvin Schulz 86' Y

Y 90' Morgan Guilavogui

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand
Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel 4 games · Avg 5.0 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-02-23 Holstein Kiel 3–4 FC St. Pauli 1910 2023-09-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 5–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Apr	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	1–2	L
05 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–1	D
29 Mar	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–3	L
16 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	1–3	L
08 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–2	D
02 Mar	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–0	W

FC St. Pauli 1910

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Apr	Holstein Kiel	A	2–1	W
06 Apr	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	1–1	D
29 Mar	FC Bayern München	A	2–3	L
14 Mar	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–0	W
08 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
01 Mar	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/1

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Holstein Kiel kicks off things out of here…
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marko Ivezic made 277 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
10' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
20' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
21' GOAL! Alexander Bernhardsson scores on 21. Assisted by Armin Gigovic
26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
34' GOAL! Danel Sinani scores on 34. Assisted by Elias Saad
37' FC St. Pauli 1910 player sees a card in front of him.
42' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Steven Skrzybski has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
46' Oladapo Afolayan was booked on 46.
46' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Timo Becker is replaced by Finn Porath.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
60' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Marko Ivezic gets a card.
60' Noah Weisshaupt is replacing Oladapo Afolayan for the FC St. Pauli 1910 side.
64' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Adam Dzwigala is replaced by Siebe Van der Heyden on 64 minute.
68' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Marco Komenda by Max Geschwill on 68 minute.
73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
75' Marvin Schulz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Magnus Knudsen on 75 minute.
77' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 77.
82' FC St. Pauli 1910 receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
83' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Armin Gigovic departs to be replaced by Steven Skrzybski.
86' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
87' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Danel Sinani is replaced by Connor Metcalfe.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Morgan Guilavogui.
The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

5
Hauke Finn Wahl
7
Jackson Irvine
25
Adam Dzwigala ↓ Siebe Van der Heyden 64'
10
Danel Sinani ↓ Connor Metcalfe 87'
8
Eric Smith
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Noah Weisshaupt 60'
22
Nikola Vasilj
4
David Nemeth
2
Manolis Saliakas
26
Elias Saad ↓ Morgan Guilavogui 46'
23
Philipp Treu

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Oladapo Afolayan	3
Alexander Bernhardsson	2
Marcel Hartel	2
Connor Metcalfe	2
Morgan Guilavogui	1
Manolis Saliakas	1
Danel Sinani	1
Phil Harres	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.36 Holstein Kiel xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.88 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel28% Draw25% FC St. Pauli 191047%

Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw

53%

Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910

72%

Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel22% Draw42% FC St. Pauli 191036%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

6.9%

0 – 1

6.7%

2 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 3

5.7%

0 – 0

5.5%

1 – 0

4.6%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

3.9%

2 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap	Holstein Kiel covers	Push	FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	21%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	15%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Holstein Kiel Form

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Clean Sheet