Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- SV Werder Bremen 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
- Assistant 2 Fabian Maibaum
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 5.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 2–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Feb | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | SC Freiburg | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
SV Werder Bremen this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and SV Werder Bremen.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Zec, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 16' Lasse Rosenboom is having his name booked by the referee on 16.
- 21' The travelling SV Werder Bremen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 24' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 24.
- 25' GOAL! Marvin Ducksch scores on 25.
- 26' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 31' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Marko Ivezic by Lewis Holtby on 35 minute.
- 37' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Dirk Bremser gets a card.
- 42' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 47' SV Werder Bremen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alexander Bernhardsson on 52.
- 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 59' Goal! Felix Agu scores his 6 goal in 41 matches.
- 61' Benedikt Pichler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolai Remberg on 61 minute.
- 66' Keke Topp has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 71' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 73' Another substitution for SV Werder Bremen to replace Oliver Burke by Justin Njinmah on 73 minute.
- 77' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jann-Fiete Arp is hanging Finn Porath on the field on 77 minute.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jens Stage on 82.
- 85' Another change for SV Werder Bremen made on 85 minute. Jens Stage leaves to be changed by Leonardo Bittencourt.
- 89' Anthony Jung is replacing Amos Pieper for the SV Werder Bremen side.
- Another three points for SV Werder Bremen.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 7
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 77'
- 3
- 21
- 22
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Shuto Machino 35'
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↓ Timo Becker 35'
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↓ Lewis Holtby 35'
- 11
- 26
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 35'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 77'
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 35'
- 1
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 61'
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 35'
- 47
- 37
- 5
Coach
Marcel Rapp
SV Werder Bremen Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1
- 32
-
15
Oliver Burke ↓ Justin Njinmah 73'
- 8
- 4
-
7
Marvin Ducksch ↓ Keke Topp 73'
-
5
Amos Pieper ↓ Anthony Jung 89'
-
20
Romano Schmid ↓ Marco Grull 89'
- 27
- 6
- 14
Bench
-
10
Leonardo Bittencourt ↑ 85'
- 9
-
3
Anthony Jung ↑ 89'
- 19
- 22
-
17
Marco Grull ↑ 89'
-
42
Keke Topp ↑ 73'
- 30
-
11
Justin Njinmah ↑ 73'
Coach
Ole Werner
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oliver Burke | 1 |
| Jens Stage | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Marvin Ducksch | 1 |
| Felix Agu | 1 |
| Marco Grull | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
SV Werder Bremen Form
2025-03-29
Holstein Kiel
0–3
SV Werder Bremen
W
2025-03-15
SV Werder Bremen
2–4
Borussia Monchengladbach
L
2025-03-08
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
SV Werder Bremen
W
2025-03-01
SV Werder Bremen
1–2
VfL Wolfsburg
L
2025-02-25
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2025-02-21
SC Freiburg
5–0
SV Werder Bremen
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SV Werder Bremen win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
53%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
74%
Holstein Kiel or SV Werder Bremen
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | SV Werder Bremen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.