Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
RB Leipzig
1 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 45,940 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Shuto Machino
Benjamin Sesko pen 74' 1–1
Y 29' Lasse Rosenboom
Lukas Klostermann 41' Y
Y 90' Jann-Fiete Arp

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

1
1
RB Leipzig 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Thomas Dahne has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Germany international Jann-Fiete Arp has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Zec, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 29' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 29.
  • 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 41' Controversy at the stadium! Lukas Klostermann argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 44' Against the run of play, Shuto Machino has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Kosta Nedeljkovic by Lutsharel Geertruida on 46 minute.
  • 51' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Alexander Bernhardsson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 66' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. David Zec departs to be replaced by Carl Johansson.
  • 67' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Peter Gulacsi is replaced by Maarten Vandevoordt.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' A stunning finish from Benjamin Sesko — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 79' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Lasse Rosenboom exits the field as Finn Porath enters on 79.
  • 84' Marko Ivezic is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Jann-Fiete Arp. He replaces Alexander Bernhardsson on 87 minute.
  • 90' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Jann-Fiete Arp will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Lois Openda makes way for Yussuf Poulsen at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • It finishes all square. RB Leipzig and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Zsolt Low

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig51% Draw27% Holstein Kiel22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
78%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
49%
RB Leipzig or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig34% Draw49% Holstein Kiel17%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.