Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
RB Leipzig
2 – 1
Full Time
FC St. Pauli 1910
Sat 9 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xaver Schlager 45' 1–0
Willi Orban 54' 2–0
2–1 86' Abdoulie Ceesay
Castello Lukeba 19' Y
Christoph Baumgartner 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

3
2
RB Leipzig 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC St. Pauli 1910
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–0 W
04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC St. Pauli 1910
#9 Position #3
0 Points 26
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 60
+0 GD -31
– PPG 0.76
– Win % 18%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Maarten Vandevoordt has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Castello Lukeba.
  • 24' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 29' FC St. Pauli 1910 have won 143 goals from 273 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 34' RB Leipzig currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' Eric Smith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
  • 44' Martijn Kaars has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Xaver Schlager on 45.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Christoph Baumgartner.
  • 54' Willi Orban adds to his 0 season tally! RB Leipzig lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' FC St. Pauli 1910 come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 74' The travelling FC St. Pauli 1910 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 79' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
  • 86' Against the run of play, Abdoulie Ceesay has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • Another three points for RB Leipzig.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Christoph Baumgartner 1
Antonio Nusa 1
Xavi Simons 1
Benjamin Sesko 1
Abdoulie Ceesay 1
Willi Orban 1
Xaver Schlager 1

Head to Head

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2026-05-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig L 2026-04-24 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-04-18 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-04-11 RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2026-04-04 SV Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig W

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.98 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.39 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig54% Draw33% FC St. Pauli 191013%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
87%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
46%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig28% Draw64% FC St. Pauli 19108%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.1%
1 – 0
23.6%
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 1
10.5%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.8%
0 – 2
1.6%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 29% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 10% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
68% ✗
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.