RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 33 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 33 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
20 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 33 86 2 Borussia Dortmund 33 70 3 RB Leipzig 33 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 33 61 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 33 58 7 SC Freiburg 33 44 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43 9 FC Augsburg 33 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 33 37 11 Hamburger SV 33 37 12 1. FC Union Berlin 33 36 13 Borussia Monchengladbach 33 35 14 1. FC Koln 33 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 33 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 33 26 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 33 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 33 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 09 May FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W 02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L 24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W 18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W 11 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–0 W 04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L 03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L 25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L 17 Apr 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D 11 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 0–5 L 05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D Season Stats
RB Leipzig FC St. Pauli 1910 #3 Position #18 65 Points 26 33 Played 33 20 / 5 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 19 65 Scored 28 43 Conceded 57 +22 GD -29 1.97 PPG 0.79 61% Win % 18% Key Stats
60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history33% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this seasonRB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig0-151/–16-303/131-451/246-602/–61-752/–76+3/5■ Scored ■ ConcededFC St. Pauli 19100-15–/316-301/–31-45–/246-60–/461-751/176+2/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena Leipzig that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andreas Hountondji suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 19' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 19.
- 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eric Smith made 296 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 50% of all matches.
- 39' FC St. Pauli 1910 is showing some good football. However, FC St. Pauli 1910 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 44' Yan Diomande needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' What a strike from Xaver Schlager! The score is 1-0.
- 50' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
- 54' What a strike from Willi Orban! The score is 2-0.
- 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 64' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 69' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Castello Lukeba, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 86' GOAL! Abdoulie Ceesay scores on 86. Assisted by Jackson Irvine
- Full Time. RB Leipzig beats FC St. Pauli 1910
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RB Leipzig Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 17
- 14
- 4
- 22
- 24
- 26
- 23
- 40
- 10
- 20
- 49
Bench
- 39
- 1
- 16
- 13
- 5
- 7
- 9
- 35
- 11
Coach Ole WernerFC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 7
- 21
- 24
- 8
- 22
- 16
- 27
- 11
- 23
- 19
- 15
Bench
- 5
- 18
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 14
- 9
Coach Alexander Blessin -
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Yussuf Poulsen 2 Xaver Schlager 1 Eric Smith 1 Morgan Guilavogui 1 Christoph Baumgartner 1 Antonio Nusa 1 Xavi Simons 1 Benjamin Sesko 1 Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern Munchen L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D -
Prediction accuracy3 / 42.2 RB Leipzig xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.72 FC St. Pauli 1910 xGI would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.92Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 78% 22% ± 2.5 55% 45% ± 3.5 33% 67% ± 4.5 17% 83% Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw 89%Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910 31%RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910 80%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 0 12.9%1 – 0 11.5%1 – 1 9.2%3 – 0 9.2%2 – 1 Actual0 – 0 7%3 – 1 6.7%4 – 0 5%4 – 1 3.7%2 – 2 3.2%0 – 1 3.2%1 – 2 2.9%Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers -2.5 25% — 75% -2 25% 21% 54% -1.5 46% — 54% -1 46% 23% 30% -0.5 70% — 30% +0.5 90% — 10% +1 90% 7% 3% +1.5 97% — 3% +2 97% 2% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet 49% ✓FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet 12% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.