Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
RB Leipzig
2 – 1
Full Time
FC St. Pauli 1910
Sat 9 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xaver Schlager 45' 1–0
Willi Orban 54' 2–0
2–1 86' Abdoulie Ceesay
Castello Lukeba 19' Y
Christoph Baumgartner 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 24.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

3
2
RB Leipzig 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC St. Pauli 1910
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–0 W
04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910 is underway.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against FC St. Pauli 1910's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 19' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Castello Lukeba will be fuming at that decision.
  • 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' Louis Oppie needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' The travelling FC St. Pauli 1910 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' What composure from Xaver Schlager! The Austria international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 50' Controversy at the stadium! Christoph Baumgartner argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 54' What composure from Willi Orban! The Hungary international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 59' With 2 assists to his name this season, Arkadiusz Pyrka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 64' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 69' FC St. Pauli 1910 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 74' Benin international Andreas Hountondji has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 79' FC St. Pauli 1910 have won 154 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 86' Abdoulie Ceesay has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Willi Orban 1
Xaver Schlager 1
Eric Smith 1
Morgan Guilavogui 1
Christoph Baumgartner 1
Antonio Nusa 1
Xavi Simons 1

Head to Head

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2026-05-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig L 2026-04-24 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-04-18 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-04-11 RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2026-04-04 SV Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig W

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig57% Draw25% FC St. Pauli 191018%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
82%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
43%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig37% Draw47% FC St. Pauli 191016%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.