Friday , 9 October 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Benjamin Sesko 11' 1–0
Lukas Klostermann 39' 2–0
2–1 62' Eric Dier
2–2 63' Michael Olise
2–3 83' Leroy Sane
Yussuf Poulsen 90+5' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC Bayern München H 3–3 D
26 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RB Leipzig A 3–3 D
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern München
#9 Position #2
6 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
9 Scored 14
5 Conceded 2
+4 GD +12
1.50 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: RB Leipzig gets underway.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 11' Benjamin Sesko does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 16' Over 16 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 21' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 26' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 31' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 3-5-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 36' FC Bayern Munchen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' A stunning finish from Lukas Klostermann — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eric Dier, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 49' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and FC Bayern Munchen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 50' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 50.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 60' FC Bayern Munchen come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' Kingsley Coman is replacing Thomas Muller for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 62' GOAL! Eric Dier scores on 62. Assisted by Michael Olise
  • 63' Michael Olise is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 10 goals this season for the .
  • 68' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
  • 69' Yussuf Poulsen gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Benjamin Sesko and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Amadou Haidara has done his job and it is now time for Arthur Vermeeren to step up.
  • 74' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Eric Dier will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Kampl on 78 minutes.
  • 78' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Ridle Baku comes on to replace Kevin Kampl.
  • 83' Brilliant from the ! Leroy Sane makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 83.
  • 86' Lutsharel Geertruida gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Kosta Nedeljkovic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Serge Gnabry trudges off to be replaced by Joao Palhinha on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Arthur Vermeeren is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.41 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig27% Draw23% FC Bayern Munchen50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
73%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern Munchen
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig19% Draw37% FC Bayern Munchen44%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
3.4%
0 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 20% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 17% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.