RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
10 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | RB Leipzig | A | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 6 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 9 | Scored | 14 |
| 5 | Conceded | 2 |
| +4 | GD | +12 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: RB Leipzig gets underway.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
- 11' Benjamin Sesko does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
- 16' Over 16 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 21' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 26' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 31' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 3-5-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 36' FC Bayern Munchen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 39' A stunning finish from Lukas Klostermann — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eric Dier, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 49' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and FC Bayern Munchen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 50' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 50.
- 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 60' FC Bayern Munchen come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 61' Kingsley Coman is replacing Thomas Muller for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 62' GOAL! Eric Dier scores on 62. Assisted by Michael Olise
- 63' Michael Olise is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 10 goals this season for the .
- 68' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
- 69' Yussuf Poulsen gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Benjamin Sesko and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Amadou Haidara has done his job and it is now time for Arthur Vermeeren to step up.
- 74' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Eric Dier will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Kampl on 78 minutes.
- 78' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Ridle Baku comes on to replace Kevin Kampl.
- 83' Brilliant from the ! Leroy Sane makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 83.
- 86' Lutsharel Geertruida gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Kosta Nedeljkovic and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Serge Gnabry trudges off to be replaced by Joao Palhinha on 88 minutes.
- 90' Arthur Vermeeren is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Antonio Nusa 86'
- 16
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Ridle Baku 78'
- 22
- 8
- 26
- 10
- 13
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 69'
- 21
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 86'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 78'
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 69'
- 25
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 86'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 70'
- 27
- 45
Coach
Zsolt Low
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Joao Palhinha 88'
- 6
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Kingsley Coman 61'
- 27
- 17
-
23
Sacha Boey ↓ Leon Goretzka 61'
- 44
- 40
- 45
Bench
- 1
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↑ 61'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 61'
-
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 88'
- 18
- 24
- 41
- 46
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC Bayern Munchen Form
2025-05-03
RB Leipzig
3–3
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-12
FC Bayern München
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-04-08
FC Bayern München
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.41
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
73%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern Munchen
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
3.4%
0 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

