Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2022-23 LAST 16

Tue 14 Mar 2023 · 20:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs RB LeipzigChampions League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Rade Obrenovic
  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez
  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Referee Tomaz Klancnik
  • Referee Andraz Kovacic
  • Referee
8 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 4.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar RB Leipzig H 7–0 W
11 Mar Crystal Palace FC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
28 Feb Bristol City FC A 3–0 W
25 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 4–1 W
22 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Manchester City FC A 0–7 L
11 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–0 W
03 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
25 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
22 Feb Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
18 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 3–0 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.79 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Manchester City FC to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC70% Draw17% RB Leipzig13%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or RB Leipzig
30%
Manchester City FC or RB Leipzig
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC55% Draw34% RB Leipzig11%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 7–0 not predicted
7 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.3%
4 – 0
5.6%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.4%
5 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 33% 67%
-2 33% 20% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 20% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
38%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.