Poland vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Italy get us underway at .
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Poland Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Poland Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.3
Poland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Poland or Italy 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Poland or Draw
71%
Draw or Italy
58%
Poland or Italy
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Poland
| Handicap | Poland covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Poland keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.