Italy vs Portugal, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan | Portugal | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Jan | Republic of Ireland | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Slovakia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Ukraine | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Jan | Switzerland | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Jan | RSC Anderlecht | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Portugal Lineups
H2H
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.47
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Portugal xG
I would bet for:
Italy or Portugal 72% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Portugal win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
66%
Draw or Portugal
62%
Italy or Portugal
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Portugal covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Portugal keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.