Switzerland vs Italy, 2016

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FA-Cup 2016/17 · 2016

Switzerland

2 – 1

Full Time

Italy

Fri 6 Jan 2017 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Switzerland vs Italy — FA Cup .

Switzerland 0 games · 0 pts
Italy 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

Switzerland 5 games · Avg 2.8 goals Italy

Last 5 meetings

2017-01-06 Switzerland 2–1 Italy 2016-11-11 Italy 1–0 Switzerland

Recent Form

Switzerland

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Jan	Italy	H	2–1	W
02 Jan	SD Huesca	H	2–2	D
31 Dec	Ukraine	A	1–0	W
26 Dec	Poland	A	0–2	L
17 Dec	Valencia CF	H	0–1	L
10 Dec	SC Recife	A	0–1	L

Italy

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Jan	Switzerland	A	1–2	L
02 Jan	RSC Anderlecht	A	0–1	L
31 Dec	Belgium	H	3–1	W
26 Dec	Wales	H	0–1	L
17 Dec	SSC Napoli	A	2–0	W
10 Dec	Russia	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Italy gets underway.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Switzerland Lineups

Italy Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 3

1.29 Switzerland xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Italy xG

I would bet for: Switzerland or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Switzerland43% Draw29% Italy28%

Actual: Switzerland win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Switzerland or Draw

72%

Draw or Italy

57%

Switzerland or Italy

71%

Half-Time Result

Switzerland28% Draw50% Italy22%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.5%

1 – 0

10.9%

0 – 1

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

6.8%

0 – 2

5.3%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 0

3.2%

1 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Switzerland

Handicap	Switzerland covers	Push	Italy covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	18%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Switzerland keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Italy keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.