Ukraine vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Italy | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Jan | Spain | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Jan | Hungary | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Dec | Switzerland | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | Russia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Dec | Republic of Ireland | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Ukraine | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Jan | Switzerland | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Jan | RSC Anderlecht | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Dec | Belgium | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Wales | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Dec | SSC Napoli | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Ukraine Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.14
Ukraine xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Ukraine or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
62%
Draw or Italy
68%
Ukraine or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Ukraine
| Handicap | Ukraine covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.