Italy vs Poland, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Poland Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.48
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Italy or Poland 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Poland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
65%
Draw or Poland
62%
Italy or Poland
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.