Saturday , 17 October 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 1 Aug 2026 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Miguel Almiron
0–2 66' Tristan Muyumba
Milan Iloski 73' 1–2
Neil Pierre 90+6' 2–2
Ezekiel Alladoh 90+7' 3–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug Atlanta United FC H 3–2 W
25 Jul Seattle Sounders FC H 1–0 W
22 Jul New York Red Bulls H 3–1 W
24 May Internacional CF Miami A 3–4 L
16 May Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D
13 May Orlando City SC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug Philadelphia Union A 2–3 L
25 Jul New England Revolution A 1–4 L
23 Jul Charlotte FC A 2–2 D
18 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
24 May Columbus Crew SC A 0–2 L
16 May Orlando City SC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Atlanta United FC
#6 Position #14
45 Points 30
29 Played 29
13 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 6 / 15
59 Scored 36
46 Conceded 48
+13 GD -12
1.55 PPG 1.03
45% Win % 28%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
17% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (45 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
7/5
46-60
11/1
61-75
15/3
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
3/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
5/7
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 18 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 11 G 3 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 5 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union60% Draw21% Atlanta United FC19%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
82%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
40%
Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union45% Draw39% Atlanta United FC16%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 21% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.