Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 May Austin FC A 1–1 D
10 May Chicago Fire FC A 1–2 L
03 May Nashville SC H 1–1 D
26 Apr Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
19 Apr Philadelphia Union A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Atlanta United FC A 1–0 W
14 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 3–2 W
10 May Columbus Crew SC H 2–2 D
03 May Montreal Impact FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr D.C. United SC H 3–0 W
19 Apr Atlanta United FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Philadelphia Union
#15 Position #13
12 Points 16
18 Played 18
3 / 3 / 12 W / D / L 4 / 4 / 10
19 Scored 25
33 Conceded 33
-14 GD -8
0.67 PPG 0.89
17% Win % 22%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 2 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 8 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Atlanta United FC launch into their encounter with Philadelphia Union.
  • 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Alejandro Bedoya is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Philadelphia Union.
  • 10' Chris Donovan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Saba Lobzhanidze has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brooks Lennon on 20 minute.
  • 21' Philadelphia Union receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
  • 26' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 36' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 41' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' The whistle greets Chris Donovan as he departs to be replaced by Tai Baribo.
  • 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bruno Damiani.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 57' Luis Abram picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 59' A stunning finish from Tai Baribo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 60' Quinn Sullivan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alejandro Bedoya on 60 minute.
  • 65' Jacob Glesnes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FCEmmanuel Latte Lath on, Jamal Thiare off on 67 minutes.
  • 71' Philadelphia Union manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Indiana Vassilev is hanging Jesus Bueno on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 289 games and scored 484 goals.
  • 81' Jovan Lukic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' Bartosz Slisz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pedro Amador on 86 minute.
  • 89' That is a card for Philadelphia Union. Kai Wagner will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Edwin Mosquera.
  • 90' Jacob Glesnes is replacing Mikkel Uhre for the Philadelphia Union side.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC25% Draw27% Philadelphia Union48%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
75%
Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC19% Draw48% Philadelphia Union33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.