Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 May Austin FC A 1–1 D
10 May Chicago Fire FC A 1–2 L
03 May Nashville SC H 1–1 D
26 Apr Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
19 Apr Philadelphia Union A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Atlanta United FC A 1–0 W
14 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 3–2 W
10 May Columbus Crew SC H 2–2 D
03 May Montreal Impact FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr D.C. United SC H 3–0 W
19 Apr Atlanta United FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Philadelphia Union
#14 Position #6
27 Points 39
27 Played 27
7 / 6 / 14 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 10
32 Scored 54
45 Conceded 44
-13 GD +10
1.00 PPG 1.44
26% Win % 41%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Philadelphia Union get us underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
  • 5' Tai Baribo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 7 goals this season.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aleksei Miranchuk, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 7 goals in the last 7 games.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Brooks Lennon has done his job and it is now time for Saba Lobzhanidze to step up.
  • 21' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alejandro Bedoya on 21 minutes.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jovan Lukic made 293 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' A change in the Philadelphia Union ranks — Chris Donovan exits the field as Tai Baribo enters on 46.
  • 49' Bruno Damiani is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
  • 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luis Abram.
  • 59' Brilliant from the ! Tai Baribo makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 59.
  • 60' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Alejandro Bedoya has done his job and it is now time for Quinn Sullivan to step up.
  • 65' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 67' Atlanta United FC make a change. Jamal Thiare trudges off to be replaced by Emmanuel Latte Lath on 67 minutes.
  • 71' Indiana Vassilev is replacing Jesus Bueno for the Philadelphia Union side.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atlanta United FC that had 291 games and scored 437 goals.
  • 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Bartosz Slisz comes on to replace Pedro Amador.
  • 89' Kai Wagner was booked on 89.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Edwin Mosquera argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Philadelphia Union make a change. Mikkel Uhre trudges off to be replaced by Jacob Glesnes on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Philadelphia Union to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC22% Draw26% Philadelphia Union52%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
78%
Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC17% Draw45% Philadelphia Union38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 23% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.