Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 May | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | Orlando City SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–2 | W |
| 10 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | D.C. United SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Atlanta United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #6 |
| 27 | Points | 39 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 7 / 6 / 14 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 10 |
| 32 | Scored | 54 |
| 45 | Conceded | 44 |
| -13 | GD | +10 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 26% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 16 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 8 G | 1 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Philadelphia Union get us underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- 5' Tai Baribo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 7 goals this season.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aleksei Miranchuk, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 7 goals in the last 7 games.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Brooks Lennon has done his job and it is now time for Saba Lobzhanidze to step up.
- 21' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alejandro Bedoya on 21 minutes.
- 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jovan Lukic made 293 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 36' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' A change in the Philadelphia Union ranks — Chris Donovan exits the field as Tai Baribo enters on 46.
- 49' Bruno Damiani is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
- 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luis Abram.
- 59' Brilliant from the ! Tai Baribo makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 59.
- 60' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Alejandro Bedoya has done his job and it is now time for Quinn Sullivan to step up.
- 65' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 67' Atlanta United FC make a change. Jamal Thiare trudges off to be replaced by Emmanuel Latte Lath on 67 minutes.
- 71' Indiana Vassilev is replacing Jesus Bueno for the Philadelphia Union side.
- 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atlanta United FC that had 291 games and scored 437 goals.
- 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 86' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Bartosz Slisz comes on to replace Pedro Amador.
- 89' Kai Wagner was booked on 89.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Edwin Mosquera argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Philadelphia Union make a change. Mikkel Uhre trudges off to be replaced by Jacob Glesnes on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Philadelphia Union to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 14
- 11
- 44
- 59
- 1
- 10
-
18
Pedro Amador ↓ Bartosz Slisz 86'
- 8
- 35
- 47
Bench
- 43
-
19
Emmanuel Latte Lath ↑ 67'
- 2
- 22
-
99
Bartosz Slisz ↑ 86'
-
70
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 67'
- 24
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↑ 20'
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 11
- 26
-
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Indiana Vassilev 71'
-
25
Chris Donovan ↓ Tai Baribo 46'
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Jacob Glesnes 90'
- 20
- 29
- 76
- 39
- 4
Bench
-
19
Indiana Vassilev ↑ 71'
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↑ 60'
-
21
Danley Jean Jacques ↑ 60'
- 16
-
5
Jacob Glesnes ↑ 90'
-
9
Tai Baribo ↑ 46'
- 14
- 1
- 6
Coach
Bradley Carnell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Josef Martinez | 4 |
| Tai Baribo | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Andrew Gutman | 2 |
| Julian Carranza | 2 |
| Mikkel Uhre | 2 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2025-05-17
Atlanta United FC
0–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2025-05-15
Austin FC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-05-10
Chicago Fire FC
2–1
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-05-03
Atlanta United FC
1–1
Nashville SC
D
2025-04-26
Orlando City SC
3–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-04-19
Philadelphia Union
3–0
Atlanta United FC
L
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-05-17
Atlanta United FC
0–1
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-05-14
Philadelphia Union
3–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
2025-05-10
Philadelphia Union
2–2
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-05-03
Montreal Impact FC
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-04-26
Philadelphia Union
3–0
D.C. United SC
W
2025-04-19
Philadelphia Union
3–0
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
78%
Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

