Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 May Austin FC A 1–1 D
10 May Chicago Fire FC A 1–2 L
03 May Nashville SC H 1–1 D
26 Apr Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
19 Apr Philadelphia Union A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Atlanta United FC A 1–0 W
14 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 3–2 W
10 May Columbus Crew SC H 2–2 D
03 May Montreal Impact FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr D.C. United SC H 3–0 W
19 Apr Atlanta United FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Philadelphia Union
#14 Position #15
11 Points 7
14 Played 15
3 / 2 / 9 W / D / L 1 / 4 / 10
14 Scored 18
23 Conceded 30
-9 GD -12
0.79 PPG 0.47
21% Win % 7%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.02 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC27% Draw29% Philadelphia Union44%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
73%
Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC20% Draw50% Philadelphia Union30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 22% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.