Saturday , 17 October 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 May Austin FC A 1–1 D
10 May Chicago Fire FC A 1–2 L
03 May Nashville SC H 1–1 D
26 Apr Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
19 Apr Philadelphia Union A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Atlanta United FC A 1–0 W
14 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 3–2 W
10 May Columbus Crew SC H 2–2 D
03 May Montreal Impact FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr D.C. United SC H 3–0 W
19 Apr Atlanta United FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Philadelphia Union
#14 Position #6
30 Points 45
29 Played 29
8 / 6 / 15 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 10
36 Scored 59
48 Conceded 46
-12 GD +13
1.03 PPG 1.55
28% Win % 45%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (30 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
3/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
5/7
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
7/5
46-60
11/1
61-75
15/3
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 18 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 11 G 3 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC22% Draw26% Philadelphia Union52%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
78%
Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC17% Draw45% Philadelphia Union38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 23% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.