Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at Fairgrounds Stadium.
- Nashville SC 22 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 22 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 22 | 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 22 | 35 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 22 | 28 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 26 |
| 9 | Toronto FC | 22 | 25 |
| 10 | D.C. United SC | 22 | 25 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 22 | 25 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 22 | 24 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 22 | 21 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew SC | 22 | 20 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 21 | 43 |
| 17 | Houston Dynamo | 22 | 39 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 36 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 22 | 34 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 22 | 34 |
| 21 | St. Louis City | 22 | 34 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 22 | 31 |
| 23 | San Diego FC | 22 | 30 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 22 | 29 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 28 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 28 |
| 27 | Seattle Sounders FC | 21 | 26 |
| 28 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 23 | 26 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 22 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 15 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 May | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | Los Angeles FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 May | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 May | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 May | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #13 |
| 52 | Points | 21 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 16 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 13 |
| 47 | Scored | 25 |
| 17 | Conceded | 38 |
| +30 | GD | -13 |
| 2.36 | PPG | 0.95 |
| 73% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
45%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
9%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (52 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/4
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/4
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 13 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 10 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nashville SC is hosting Atlanta United FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 11' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Ajani Fortune is replaced by Will Reilly.
- 16' Over 16 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 21' Nashville SC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tristan Muyumba is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nashville SC.
- 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Atlanta United FC come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gerardo Martino will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' It looks surprising Nashville SC does not make any changes. Hany Mukhtar has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 62' Will Reilly has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matthew Edwards on 62 minute.
- 63' Bryan Acosta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Edvard Tagseth on 63 minute.
- 68' Atlanta United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
- 73' Nashville SC ring the changes. Ahmed Qasem has done his job and it is now time for Alex Muyl to step up.
- 78' Atlanta United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 79' What composure from Shak Mohammed! The Ghana international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 83' The crowd applauds Luke Brennan as he leaves the pitch. Fafa Picault steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Shak Mohammed. He receives a card.
- 90' Fresh legs for Nashville SC! Jordan Knight comes on to replace Shak Mohammed.
- 90' Enea Mihaj has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nashville SC 1-0 Atlanta United FC.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 2
- 10
- 3
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↓ Bryan Acosta 63'
-
5
Jack Maher ↓ Jeisson Palacios 73'
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↓ Andy Najar 63'
-
14
Shak Mohammed ↓ Jordan Knight 90'
- 16
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↓ Alex Muyl 73'
Bench
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 63'
-
19
Alex Muyl ↑ 73'
- 1
-
31
Andy Najar ↑ 63'
- 21
- 17
-
23
Jordan Knight ↑ 90'
-
4
Jeisson Palacios ↑ 73'
- 12
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 59
- 10
- 1
- 4
- 8
- 55
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Will Reilly 11'
-
20
Luke Brennan ↓ Fafa Picault 83'
- 3
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↓ Will Reilly 62'
- 48
Bench
-
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath ↑ 83'
- 30
-
22
Fafa Picault ↑ 83'
- 2
- 18
- 42
-
28
Will Reilly ↑ 62'
- 16
Coach
Gerardo Martino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 9 |
| Thiago Almada | 3 |
| Charles Sapong | 3 |
| Anton Walkes | 2 |
| Gonzalo Martinez | 2 |
| Shak Mohammed | 2 |
| George Bello | 1 |
| Randall Leal | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2026-07-18
Nashville SC
1–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2026-05-24
Columbus Crew SC
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2026-05-16
Orlando City SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-05-09
Atlanta United FC
0–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2026-05-02
Atlanta United FC
0–1
Montreal Impact FC
L
2026-04-25
Toronto FC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
89%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
32%
Nashville SC or Atlanta United FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.5%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
9.8%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
4 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.6%
1 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.