Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Atlanta United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Orlando City SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | St. Louis City | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | FC Dallas | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | New York City FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 50 | Points | 33 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 19 |
| 66 | Scored | 43 |
| 52 | Conceded | 60 |
| +14 | GD | -17 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 41% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Philadelphia Union get us underway at Subaru Park.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Stian Gregersen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atlanta United FC that had 303 games and scored 454 goals.
- 19' A moment of madness from Jacob Glesnes on 19 minutes earns him a card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
- 24' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 27' Against the run of play, Quinn Sullivan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 31' The crowd applauds Stian Gregersen as he leaves the pitch. Luis Abram steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 34' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Tristan Muyumba is replaced by Mateusz Klich.
- 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bradley Carnell might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 44' Atlanta United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' Jovan Lukic is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 50' Magnificent from Danley Jean Jacques! That is 8 goals in 446 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 55' It looks surprising Philadelphia Union does not make any changes. Indiana Vassilev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' Poor challenge from Jovan Lukic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 57' Controversy at the stadium! Danley Jean Jacques argues furiously but the card stands.
- 62' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Mikkel Uhre is replaced by Olwethu Makhanya on 62 minute.
- 66' The Atlanta United FC bench stirs into life. Ajani Fortune is withdrawn and Saba Lobzhanidze gets his opportunity.
- 68' Atlanta United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
- 73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brad Guzan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Philadelphia Union.
- 74' The whistle greets Bruno Damiani as he departs to be replaced by Tai Baribo.
- 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 84' Against the run of play, Tai Baribo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 86' Jeremy Rafanello gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Indiana Vassilev and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Philadelphia Union to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 19
- 33
- 26
- 21
- 5
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Olwethu Makhanya 62'
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Tai Baribo 74'
- 39
- 4
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 86'
- 25
-
9
Tai Baribo ↑ 74'
-
14
Jeremy Rafanello ↑ 86'
-
29
Olwethu Makhanya ↑ 62'
- 1
- 76
- 6
- 44
Coach
Bradley Carnell
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 11
- 59
- 1
- 10
-
5
Stian Gregersen ↓ Luis Abram 31'
- 18
- 99
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Mateusz Klich 34'
- 35
-
24
Noah Cobb ↓ Jamal Thiare 66'
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 34'
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 66'
-
44
Luis Abram ↑ 31'
- 2
- 22
- 20
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↑ 66'
- 47
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Josef Martinez | 4 |
| Tai Baribo | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Andrew Gutman | 2 |
| Julian Carranza | 2 |
| Mikkel Uhre | 2 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 2 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-04-19
Philadelphia Union
3–0
Atlanta United FC
W
2025-04-12
New York City FC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2025-04-05
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
2025-03-29
Internacional CF Miami
2–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2025-03-22
Philadelphia Union
1–0
St. Louis City
W
2025-03-16
Philadelphia Union
1–3
Nashville SC
L
Atlanta United FC Form
2025-04-19
Philadelphia Union
3–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-04-12
Atlanta United FC
0–1
New England Revolution
L
2025-04-05
Atlanta United FC
1–1
FC Dallas
D
2025-03-29
Atlanta United FC
4–3
New York City FC
W
2025-03-22
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-03-16
Atlanta United FC
1–2
Internacional CF Miami
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.23
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Philadelphia Union to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
82%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
39%
Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 22% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

