Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Atlanta United FC H 3–0 W
12 Apr New York City FC A 0–1 L
05 Apr Orlando City SC H 0–0 D
29 Mar Internacional CF Miami A 1–2 L
22 Mar St. Louis City H 1–0 W
16 Mar Nashville SC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Philadelphia Union A 0–3 L
12 Apr New England Revolution H 0–1 L
05 Apr FC Dallas H 1–1 D
29 Mar New York City FC H 4–3 W
22 Mar FC Cincinnati A 2–2 D
16 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Atlanta United FC
#6 Position #14
39 Points 27
27 Played 27
11 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 6 / 14
54 Scored 32
44 Conceded 45
+10 GD -13
1.44 PPG 1.00
41% Win % 26%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.21 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Philadelphia Union to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union60% Draw22% Atlanta United FC18%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
82%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
40%
Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union45% Draw40% Atlanta United FC15%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 22% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.