Thursday , 2 July 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Atlanta United FC H 3–0 W
12 Apr New York City FC A 0–1 L
05 Apr Orlando City SC H 0–0 D
29 Mar Internacional CF Miami A 1–2 L
22 Mar St. Louis City H 1–0 W
16 Mar Nashville SC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Philadelphia Union A 0–3 L
12 Apr New England Revolution H 0–1 L
05 Apr FC Dallas H 1–1 D
29 Mar New York City FC H 4–3 W
22 Mar FC Cincinnati A 2–2 D
16 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Atlanta United FC
#15 Position #14
7 Points 11
15 Played 14
1 / 4 / 10 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 9
18 Scored 14
30 Conceded 23
-12 GD -9
0.47 PPG 0.79
7% Win % 21%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union52% Draw25% Atlanta United FC23%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
78%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
48%
Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union36% Draw45% Atlanta United FC19%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
35%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.