Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 19:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia UnionMLS .

Match Details

  • Referee M. de Oliveira
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Philadelphia Union H 3–1 W
08 Mar Real Salt Lake H 2–3 L
01 Mar San Jose Earthquakes A 0–2 L
21 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
18 Oct D.C. United SC H 1–1 D
11 Oct Internacional CF Miami A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Atlanta United FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar San Jose Earthquakes H 0–1 L
01 Mar New York City FC H 1–2 L
22 Feb D.C. United SC A 0–1 L
18 Oct Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
04 Oct New York City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Philadelphia Union
#14 Position #15
11 Points 7
14 Played 15
3 / 2 / 9 W / D / L 1 / 4 / 10
14 Scored 18
23 Conceded 30
-9 GD -12
0.79 PPG 0.47
21% Win % 7%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC47% Draw26% Philadelphia Union27%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
53%
Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC33% Draw45% Philadelphia Union22%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.