Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 19:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS .

Match Details

  • Referee M. de Oliveira
6 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Philadelphia Union H 3–1 W
08 Mar Real Salt Lake H 2–3 L
01 Mar San Jose Earthquakes A 0–2 L
21 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
18 Oct D.C. United SC H 1–1 D
11 Oct Internacional CF Miami A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Atlanta United FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar San Jose Earthquakes H 0–1 L
01 Mar New York City FC H 1–2 L
22 Feb D.C. United SC A 0–1 L
18 Oct Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
04 Oct New York City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Philadelphia Union
#14 Position #6
27 Points 39
27 Played 27
7 / 6 / 14 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 10
32 Scored 54
45 Conceded 44
-13 GD +10
1.00 PPG 1.44
26% Win % 41%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC41% Draw25% Philadelphia Union34%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
59%
Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC28% Draw42% Philadelphia Union30%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.