Saturday , 10 October 2026

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Wed 22 Jul 2026 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Milan Iloski 9' 1–0
1–1 38' Cade Cowell
Indiana Vassilev 57' 2–1
Neil Pierre 66' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Subaru Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Fotis Bazakos
9 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jul New York Red Bulls H 3–1 W
24 May Internacional CF Miami A 3–4 L
16 May Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D
13 May Orlando City SC A 0–1 L
09 May New England Revolution A 0–0 D
02 May Nashville SC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jul Philadelphia Union A 1–3 L
24 May Sporting Kansas City A 2–1 W
16 May New York City FC H 1–1 D
13 May Columbus Crew SC H 1–0 W
09 May Chicago Fire FC A 3–1 W
02 May FC Dallas H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union New York Red Bulls
#6 Position #10
39 Points 33
27 Played 27
11 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 12
54 Scored 34
44 Conceded 51
+10 GD -17
1.44 PPG 1.22
41% Win % 33%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
22% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/5
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A
New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 10 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.19 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union58% Draw22% New York Red Bulls20%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
80%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
42%
Philadelphia Union or New York Red Bulls
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union44% Draw40% New York Red Bulls16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.