Saturday , 17 October 2026

Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Thu 23 Jul 2026 · 00:15 UTC Bank of America Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kerwin Vargas 16' 1–0
Liel Abada 45' 2–0
2–1 57' Elias Baez
2–2 76' Miguel Almiron

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
23 May New England Revolution H 1–0 W
16 May Toronto FC H 3–1 W
13 May New York City FC H 0–1 L
09 May FC Cincinnati H 0–0 D
02 May New England Revolution A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Charlotte FC A 2–2 D
18 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
24 May Columbus Crew SC A 0–2 L
16 May Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
09 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 0–0 D
02 May Montreal Impact FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Charlotte FC Atlanta United FC
#5 Position #14
46 Points 30
29 Played 29
13 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 6 / 15
51 Scored 36
43 Conceded 48
+8 GD -12
1.59 PPG 1.03
45% Win % 28%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Charlotte FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Charlotte FC are 5th (46 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Charlotte FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
8/7
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/7
61-75
7/7
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
3/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
5/7
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Charlotte FC
Pep Biel 12 G 8 A
Idan Gorno 9 G 2 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 Charlotte FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Charlotte FC54% Draw24% Atlanta United FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Charlotte FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
46%
Charlotte FC or Atlanta United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Charlotte FC39% Draw43% Atlanta United FC18%
Actual: Charlotte FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Charlotte FC

Handicap Charlotte FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Charlotte FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.