Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Newcastle United FC 10 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jarred Gillett
- Assistant 1 Lee Betts
- Assistant 2
5 games this season
🟨 6.0/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Newcastle United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Aston Villa FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Apr | Crystal Palace FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Manchester United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | Leicester City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Brentford FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | West Ham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Newcastle United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 3 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| 14 | Scored | 13 |
| 17 | Conceded | 16 |
| -3 | GD | -3 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 30% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
Newcastle United FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Newcastle United FC are 12th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
| Nicolas Jackson | 6 G | 1 A |
| Johan Manzambi | 2 G | 3 A |
| Alysson | 2 G |
Newcastle United FC
| Harvey Barnes | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joe Willock | 2 G | |
| Anthony Elanga | 2 G | |
| Yoane Wissa | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Villa Park will turn into a battlefield for Aston Villa FC and Newcastle United FC.
- 1' What a moment for Ollie Watkins! That strike on 1 puts his side firmly in control.
- 6' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 11' Newcastle United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 13' It’s a booking for Newcastle United FC player. Fabian Schar gets a card.
- 18' Against the run of play, Fabian Schar has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 23' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eddie Howe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 28' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 33' Joe Willock is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 41' A moment of madness from Joelinton on 41 minutes earns him a card. Newcastle United FC will be frustrated.
- 46' Morgan Rogers has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' Aston Villa FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Aston Villa FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 63' Bruno Guimaraes is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
- 64' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ian Maatsen on 64.
- 65' Anthony Gordon gets the nod from Newcastle United FC. He replaces Jacob Murphy and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Newcastle United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 72' A tactical swap from Aston Villa FC — Amadou Onana on, Marco Asensio off on 72 minutes.
- 73' A stunning finish from Dan Burn — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 75' Amadou Onana puts Aston Villa FC on the lead.
- 77' A change in the Newcastle United FC ranks — Harvey Barnes exits the field as Joe Willock enters on 77.
- 82' The Newcastle United FC bench stirs into life. Fabian Schar is withdrawn and Matt Targett gets his opportunity.
- 83' The whistle greets Ollie Watkins as he departs to be replaced by Marcus Rashford.
- 88' That is a card for Aston Villa FC. Jacob Ramsey will be fuming at that decision.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Newcastle United FC.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
-
27
Morgan Rogers ↓ Donyell Malen 83'
- 5
- 2
-
11
Ollie Watkins ↓ Marcus Rashford 83'
- 4
-
7
John McGinn ↓ Jacob Ramsey 72'
- 8
-
44
Boubacar Kamara ↓ Ross Barkley 82'
-
21
Marco Asensio ↓ Amadou Onana 72'
- 22
Bench
-
17
Donyell Malen ↑ 83'
-
6
Ross Barkley ↑ 82'
- 12
-
9
Marcus Rashford ↑ 83'
- 3
- 25
-
41
Jacob Ramsey ↑ 72'
-
24
Amadou Onana ↑ 72'
- 16
Coach
Unai Emery
Newcastle United FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 39
-
11
Harvey Barnes ↓ Joe Willock 77'
- 22
-
5
Fabian Schar ↓ Matt Targett 82'
-
23
Jacob Murphy ↓ Anthony Gordon 65'
-
2
Kieran Trippier ↓ Emil Krafth 77'
- 33
-
14
Alexander Isak ↓ Callum Wilson 77'
- 7
- 8
- 21
Bench
-
9
Callum Wilson ↑ 77'
-
13
Matt Targett ↑ 82'
- 36
- 1
-
17
Emil Krafth ↑ 77'
-
28
Joe Willock ↑ 77'
-
10
Anthony Gordon ↑ 65'
- 18
- 67
Coach
Eddie Howe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | 7 |
| Callum Wilson | 3 |
| Alexander Isak | 3 |
| Fabian Schar | 3 |
| Joelinton | 2 |
| Anwar El Ghazi | 2 |
| Amadou Onana | 1 |
| Conor Hourihane | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
2025-04-19
Aston Villa FC
4–1
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-04-15
Aston Villa FC
3–2
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2025-04-12
Southampton FC
0–3
Aston Villa FC
W
2025-04-09
Paris Saint-Germain FC
3–1
Aston Villa FC
L
2025-04-05
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2025-04-02
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0–3
Aston Villa FC
W
Newcastle United FC Form
2025-04-19
Aston Villa FC
4–1
Newcastle United FC
L
2025-04-16
Newcastle United FC
5–0
Crystal Palace FC
W
2025-04-13
Newcastle United FC
4–1
Manchester United FC
W
2025-04-07
Leicester City FC
0–3
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-04-02
Newcastle United FC
2–1
Brentford FC
W
2025-03-10
West Ham United FC
0–1
Newcastle United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.12
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
53%
Aston Villa FC or Newcastle United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Newcastle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

