Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 16:30 UTC Villa Park 42,618 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 1' 1–0
1–1 18' Fabian Schar
Ian Maatsen 64' 2–1
Dan Burn og 73' 3–1
Amadou Onana 75' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2
5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Aston Villa FC A 1–4 L
16 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 5–0 W
13 Apr Manchester United FC H 4–1 W
07 Apr Leicester City FC A 3–0 W
02 Apr Brentford FC H 2–1 W
10 Mar West Ham United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Newcastle United FC
#10 Position #12
13 Points 12
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 4
14 Scored 13
17 Conceded 16
-3 GD -3
1.30 PPG 1.20
30% Win % 30%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Newcastle United FC are 12th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G
Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 2 G 2 A
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.12 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC47% Draw23% Newcastle United FC30%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
53%
Aston Villa FC or Newcastle United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC36% Draw39% Newcastle United FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.