Friday , 7 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
25 May Manchester United FC A 0–2 L
16 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–0 W
10 May AFC Bournemouth A 1–0 W
03 May Fulham FC H 1–0 W
26 Apr Crystal Palace FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Aston Villa FC A 0–0 D
25 May Everton FC H 0–1 L
18 May Arsenal FC A 0–1 L
11 May Chelsea FC H 2–0 W
04 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
26 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Newcastle United FC
#7 Position #15
65 Points 49
38 Played 38
19 / 8 / 11 W / D / L 14 / 7 / 17
56 Scored 53
49 Conceded 55
+7 GD -2
1.71 PPG 1.29
50% Win % 37%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 7th (65 pts). Newcastle United FC are 15th (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Newcastle United FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC41% Draw29% Newcastle United FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
59%
Aston Villa FC or Newcastle United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC29% Draw49% Newcastle United FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.