Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Nashville SC H 1–2 L
15 Jun Chicago Fire FC H 1–4 L
01 Jun D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
29 May Philadelphia Union A 0–0 D
25 May FC Cincinnati H 3–4 L
18 May Montreal Impact FC H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Toronto FC A 2–1 W
15 Jun New York Red Bulls A 0–0 D
02 Jun New England Revolution H 1–2 L
29 May FC Cincinnati A 2–0 W
25 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–0 D
18 May Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC Nashville SC
#11 Position #1
14 Points 33
14 Played 14
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 10 / 3 / 1
22 Scored 31
29 Conceded 11
-7 GD +20
1.00 PPG 2.36
21% Win % 71%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
/1
46-60
3/
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Toronto FC host Nashville SC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Nashville SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Tyler Boyd, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Federico Bernardeschi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' What composure from Alonso Coello Camarero! The Spain international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' Kevin Long has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 342 appearances.
  • 46' Nashville SC ring the changes. Alex Muyl has done his job and it is now time for Tyler Boyd to step up.
  • 48' Sean Davis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brian Anunga on 48 minute.
  • 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Herdman might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nashville SC backline.
  • 62' The whistle greets Lorenzo Insigne as he departs to be replaced by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty.
  • 65' Sam Surridge makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Nashville SC are in front.
  • 70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' Nashville SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 72' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 75' Another change for Nashville SC made on 75 minute. Walker Zimmerman leaves to be changed by Brent Kallman.
  • 80' Kobe Franklin is replacing Prince-Osei Owusu for the Toronto FC side.
  • 85' Teal Bunbury makes way for Amar Sejdic at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nashville SC.
  • 89' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Derrick Etienne is withdrawn and Deandre Kerr gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The deadlock is broken! Sam Surridge gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
  • 1-2 the final result. Toronto FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC21% Draw23% Nashville SC56%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Nashville SC
79%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC14% Draw39% Nashville SC47%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 3
6.9%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 4
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 36% 64%
+1 36% 22% 42%
+1.5 58% 42%
+2 58% 19% 23%
+2.5 77% 23%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
11%
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.