Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Nashville SC H 1–2 L
15 Jun Chicago Fire FC H 1–4 L
01 Jun D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
29 May Philadelphia Union A 0–0 D
25 May FC Cincinnati H 3–4 L
18 May Montreal Impact FC H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Toronto FC A 2–1 W
15 Jun New York Red Bulls A 0–0 D
02 Jun New England Revolution H 1–2 L
29 May FC Cincinnati A 2–0 W
25 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–0 D
18 May Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC Nashville SC
#13 Position #1
29 Points 60
27 Played 27
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 18 / 6 / 3
39 Scored 55
51 Conceded 21
-12 GD +34
1.07 PPG 2.22
22% Win % 67%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 16 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 13 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toronto FC to score. At the same time, Nashville SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Nashville SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Sean Davis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Brent Kallman has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' Nashville SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alonso Coello Camarero makes it 1-0.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Tyler Boyd is replacing Alex Muyl for the Nashville SC side.
  • 48' Brian Anunga makes way for Sean Davis at the 48 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nashville SC.
  • 53' The 36-year-old Teal Bunbury has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 58' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Lorenzo Insigne is replaced by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty.
  • 65' GOAL! Sam Surridge fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 70' Deybi Flores needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 71' Hany Mukhtar picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 72' Kevin Long is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 75' Nashville SC ring the changes. Walker Zimmerman has done his job and it is now time for Brent Kallman to step up.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Kobe Franklin. He replaces Prince-Osei Owusu on 80 minute.
  • 85' Amar Sejdic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Teal Bunbury at the 85 minute mark.
  • 89' Deandre Kerr has so much to prove this time. He replaces Derrick Etienne on 89 minute.
  • 90' What a strike from Sam Surridge! The score is 1-2.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC22% Draw24% Nashville SC54%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Nashville SC
78%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC15% Draw41% Nashville SC44%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 3
6.6%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 23% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 19% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.